Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 35°C or higher (39.5% implied probability) and exactly 34°C (38%), driven by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts of unseasonably high temperatures around 32–34°C today under a high-pressure ridge and easterly winds advecting dry desert air from Jordan, reducing humidity and enabling strong daytime heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show peak surface temperatures varying by 1–2°C due to differences in boundary layer mixing and timing of sea-breeze moderation near Ben Gurion Airport, the resolution site via NOAA observations. Clear skies and subsidence favor upper-30s peaks well above April's 23–24°C historical average, with real-time METAR updates this afternoon likely to resolve the market as solar heating maximizes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 15?
35°C or higher 41%
34°C 38%
33°C 20%
32°C 6%
新規
$55,497 Vol.
新規
$55,497 Vol.
2026/04/15
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
20%
34°C
38%
35°C or higher
41%
35°C or higher 41%
34°C 38%
33°C 20%
32°C 6%
新規
$55,497 Vol.
新規
$55,497 Vol.
2026/04/15
25°C or below
$12,366 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,980 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$3,804 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,278 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$4,167 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,714 Vol.
1%
31°C
$6,705 Vol.
1%
32°C
$3,483 Vol.
6%
33°C
$3,354 Vol.
20%
34°C
$5,253 Vol.
38%
35°C or higher
$6,393 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 35°C or higher (39.5% implied probability) and exactly 34°C (38%), driven by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts of unseasonably high temperatures around 32–34°C today under a high-pressure ridge and easterly winds advecting dry desert air from Jordan, reducing humidity and enabling strong daytime heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show peak surface temperatures varying by 1–2°C due to differences in boundary layer mixing and timing of sea-breeze moderation near Ben Gurion Airport, the resolution site via NOAA observations. Clear skies and subsidence favor upper-30s peaks well above April's 23–24°C historical average, with real-time METAR updates this afternoon likely to resolve the market as solar heating maximizes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
音量
$55,497終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 35°C or higher (39.5% implied probability) and exactly 34°C (38%), driven by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts of unseasonably high temperatures around 32–34°C today under a high-pressure ridge and easterly winds advecting dry desert air from Jordan, reducing humidity and enabling strong daytime heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show peak surface temperatures varying by 1–2°C due to differences in boundary layer mixing and timing of sea-breeze moderation near Ben Gurion Airport, the resolution site via NOAA observations. Clear skies and subsidence favor upper-30s peaks well above April's 23–24°C historical average, with real-time METAR updates this afternoon likely to resolve the market as solar heating maximizes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$55,497終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty between 35°C or higher (39.5% implied probability) and exactly 34°C (38%), driven by Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) forecasts of unseasonably high temperatures around 32–34°C today under a high-pressure ridge and easterly winds advecting dry desert air from Jordan, reducing humidity and enabling strong daytime heating. Global models like GFS and ECMWF show peak surface temperatures varying by 1–2°C due to differences in boundary layer mixing and timing of sea-breeze moderation near Ben Gurion Airport, the resolution site via NOAA observations. Clear skies and subsidence favor upper-30s peaks well above April's 23–24°C historical average, with real-time METAR updates this afternoon likely to resolve the market as solar heating maximizes.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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