Eurozone inflation accelerated to a revised 2.6% in March 2026—its highest since mid-2024—driven by energy price surges from Middle East tensions including the recent Iran conflict ceasefire, pushing ECB Governing Council projections for 2026 headline inflation up to 2.6% from prior estimates. At its March 19 meeting, the ECB held key deposit rates steady around 2% while signaling vigilance on commodity markets and readiness to hike if pressures prove persistent, as stated by President Christine Lagarde. This hawkish posture, amid forecasts from banks like JP Morgan for 25 basis point increases in June and September, underpins trader consensus implying a 77% probability of at least one rate hike in 2026, with the April 30 decision unlikely to trigger action but later meetings in focus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트예
$94,032 거래량
$94,032 거래량
2026.12.31
예
$94,032 거래량
$94,032 거래량
2026.12.31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to a revised 2.6% in March 2026—its highest since mid-2024—driven by energy price surges from Middle East tensions including the recent Iran conflict ceasefire, pushing ECB Governing Council projections for 2026 headline inflation up to 2.6% from prior estimates. At its March 19 meeting, the ECB held key deposit rates steady around 2% while signaling vigilance on commodity markets and readiness to hike if pressures prove persistent, as stated by President Christine Lagarde. This hawkish posture, amid forecasts from banks like JP Morgan for 25 basis point increases in June and September, underpins trader consensus implying a 77% probability of at least one rate hike in 2026, with the April 30 decision unlikely to trigger action but later meetings in focus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ET
거래량
$94,032종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Eurozone inflation accelerated to a revised 2.6% in March 2026—its highest since mid-2024—driven by energy price surges from Middle East tensions including the recent Iran conflict ceasefire, pushing ECB Governing Council projections for 2026 headline inflation up to 2.6% from prior estimates. At its March 19 meeting, the ECB held key deposit rates steady around 2% while signaling vigilance on commodity markets and readiness to hike if pressures prove persistent, as stated by President Christine Lagarde. This hawkish posture, amid forecasts from banks like JP Morgan for 25 basis point increases in June and September, underpins trader consensus implying a 77% probability of at least one rate hike in 2026, with the April 30 decision unlikely to trigger action but later meetings in focus.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$94,032종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 5:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Eurozone inflation accelerated to a revised 2.6% in March 2026—its highest since mid-2024—driven by energy price surges from Middle East tensions including the recent Iran conflict ceasefire, pushing ECB Governing Council projections for 2026 headline inflation up to 2.6% from prior estimates. At its March 19 meeting, the ECB held key deposit rates steady around 2% while signaling vigilance on commodity markets and readiness to hike if pressures prove persistent, as stated by President Christine Lagarde. This hawkish posture, amid forecasts from banks like JP Morgan for 25 basis point increases in June and September, underpins trader consensus implying a 77% probability of at least one rate hike in 2026, with the April 30 decision unlikely to trigger action but later meetings in focus.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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