Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 33.5% implied probability for an 18°C high in Amsterdam on April 17, reflects the latest KNMI forecast of a maximum 18°C under alternating sun and clouds, driven by a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly winds and 40% sunshine. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a 3–5°C spread, clustering around 18–20°C (25.5% and 22.0% odds), due to uncertainties in cloud fraction, light shower timing (30% chance, 0–1 mm), and boundary-layer mixing that could boost peaks above 20°C with more insolation or cap them below 18°C if overcast. New model runs and observations expected April 16 may sharpen resolution before the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 17?
18°C 35%
19°C 26%
20°C 20%
17°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
6%
17°C
15%
18°C
35%
19°C
26%
20°C
20%
21°C
5%
22°C or higher
3%
18°C 35%
19°C 26%
20°C 20%
17°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
12°C or below
$868 交易量
<1%
13°C
$693 交易量
1%
14°C
$995 交易量
1%
15°C
$990 交易量
2%
16°C
$924 交易量
6%
17°C
$198 交易量
15%
18°C
$73 交易量
35%
19°C
$192 交易量
26%
20°C
$33 交易量
20%
21°C
$365 交易量
5%
22°C or higher
$889 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 33.5% implied probability for an 18°C high in Amsterdam on April 17, reflects the latest KNMI forecast of a maximum 18°C under alternating sun and clouds, driven by a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly winds and 40% sunshine. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a 3–5°C spread, clustering around 18–20°C (25.5% and 22.0% odds), due to uncertainties in cloud fraction, light shower timing (30% chance, 0–1 mm), and boundary-layer mixing that could boost peaks above 20°C with more insolation or cap them below 18°C if overcast. New model runs and observations expected April 16 may sharpen resolution before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
交易量
$5,992結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 33.5% implied probability for an 18°C high in Amsterdam on April 17, reflects the latest KNMI forecast of a maximum 18°C under alternating sun and clouds, driven by a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly winds and 40% sunshine. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a 3–5°C spread, clustering around 18–20°C (25.5% and 22.0% odds), due to uncertainties in cloud fraction, light shower timing (30% chance, 0–1 mm), and boundary-layer mixing that could boost peaks above 20°C with more insolation or cap them below 18°C if overcast. New model runs and observations expected April 16 may sharpen resolution before the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,992結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:36 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket, with 33.5% implied probability for an 18°C high in Amsterdam on April 17, reflects the latest KNMI forecast of a maximum 18°C under alternating sun and clouds, driven by a high-pressure ridge ushering mild southerly winds and 40% sunshine. ECMWF and GFS ensemble models show a 3–5°C spread, clustering around 18–20°C (25.5% and 22.0% odds), due to uncertainties in cloud fraction, light shower timing (30% chance, 0–1 mm), and boundary-layer mixing that could boost peaks above 20°C with more insolation or cap them below 18°C if overcast. New model runs and observations expected April 16 may sharpen resolution before the event.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions