Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts point to a high near 23–25°C in Buenos Aires on April 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, following a cooling trend after April 14's near-25°C peak and April 15's 23°C reading at Ezeiza airport station. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C due to lingering model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles (20–27°C range), where differences stem from cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing, wind moderation of sea-breeze effects, and urban heat buildup. April climatology averages 21–22°C maxima, amplifying uncertainty from this frontal system's timing. New SMN updates and 12z model runs today could shift implied probabilities before hourly observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
24°C 27%
25°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 16%
$13,306 交易量
$13,306 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
16%
24°C
27%
25°C
25%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 27%
25°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 16%
$13,306 交易量
$13,306 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
16%
24°C
27%
25°C
25%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts point to a high near 23–25°C in Buenos Aires on April 17 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, following a cooling trend after April 14's near-25°C peak and April 15's 23°C reading at Ezeiza airport station. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 24–26°C due to lingering model spread in GFS and ECMWF ensembles (20–27°C range), where differences stem from cloud cover persistence versus afternoon clearing, wind moderation of sea-breeze effects, and urban heat buildup. April climatology averages 21–22°C maxima, amplifying uncertainty from this frontal system's timing. New SMN updates and 12z model runs today could shift implied probabilities before hourly observations resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions