Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts, updated April 16, project London's highest temperature on April 18 at 17°C under sunny intervals and a gentle westerly breeze peaking around 3 p.m., aligning with trader consensus implying 38% odds on this outcome and strong support for 16–18°C (combined ~84%). This follows early April's record 26.5°C heat in Kew Gardens on April 8, succeeded by rain and cooler conditions averaging 12–15°C, now shifting to mild high-pressure influence above the mid-April climatological norm of 13–14°C. Ensemble model agreement shows low precipitation risk (<10%), though scattered morning showers or cloud could trim peaks by 1°C; watch hourly advisories from the Met Office for refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on April 18?
Highest temperature in London on April 18?
17°C 38%
18°C 27%
16°C 20%
19°C 11%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
20%
17°C
38%
18°C
27%
19°C
11%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 38%
18°C 27%
16°C 20%
19°C 11%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
20%
17°C
38%
18°C
27%
19°C
11%
20°C
3%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts, updated April 16, project London's highest temperature on April 18 at 17°C under sunny intervals and a gentle westerly breeze peaking around 3 p.m., aligning with trader consensus implying 38% odds on this outcome and strong support for 16–18°C (combined ~84%). This follows early April's record 26.5°C heat in Kew Gardens on April 8, succeeded by rain and cooler conditions averaging 12–15°C, now shifting to mild high-pressure influence above the mid-April climatological norm of 13–14°C. Ensemble model agreement shows low precipitation risk (<10%), though scattered morning showers or cloud could trim peaks by 1°C; watch hourly advisories from the Met Office for refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions