Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the designated station for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 22°C, peaking around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-autumn atmospheric stability. This measurement, captured via standard shaded thermometers at 1.5 meters, aligns with forecast model consensus from the prior day predicting highs near 20–21°C, slightly exceeded due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with near-certainty (100% implied probability on 22°C), embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with observational evidence. Realistic challenges include rare SMN quality-control revisions from instrument calibration discrepancies or metadata errors, though historical audit rates for daily maxima remain below 0.1%. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 12?
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$65,964 交易量
$65,964 交易量
2026-05-12
13°C or below
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$65,964 交易量
$65,964 交易量
2026-05-12
13°C or below
$1,546 交易量
No
14°C
$610 交易量
No
15°C
$1,270 交易量
No
16°C
$4,233 交易量
No
17°C
$6,881 交易量
No
18°C
$5,720 交易量
No
19°C
$6,018 交易量
No
20°C
$8,138 交易量
No
21°C
$4,735 交易量
No
22°C
$10,509 交易量
Yes
23°C or higher
$16,304 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the designated station for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 22°C, peaking around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-autumn atmospheric stability. This measurement, captured via standard shaded thermometers at 1.5 meters, aligns with forecast model consensus from the prior day predicting highs near 20–21°C, slightly exceeded due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with near-certainty (100% implied probability on 22°C), embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with observational evidence. Realistic challenges include rare SMN quality-control revisions from instrument calibration discrepancies or metadata errors, though historical audit rates for daily maxima remain below 0.1%. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 10, 2026, 12:51 AM ET
交易量
$65,964結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
May 10, 2026, 12:51 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the designated station for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 22°C, peaking around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-autumn atmospheric stability. This measurement, captured via standard shaded thermometers at 1.5 meters, aligns with forecast model consensus from the prior day predicting highs near 20–21°C, slightly exceeded due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with near-certainty (100% implied probability on 22°C), embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with observational evidence. Realistic challenges include rare SMN quality-control revisions from instrument calibration discrepancies or metadata errors, though historical audit rates for daily maxima remain below 0.1%. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$65,964結束日期
2026-05-12市場開放時間
May 10, 2026, 12:51 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Argentina's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) at Ministro Pistarini International Airport—the designated station for Buenos Aires temperature records—confirm the highest temperature on May 12 reached exactly 22°C, peaking around midday amid partly cloudy skies, light northerly winds, and typical late-autumn atmospheric stability. This measurement, captured via standard shaded thermometers at 1.5 meters, aligns with forecast model consensus from the prior day predicting highs near 20–21°C, slightly exceeded due to enhanced solar insolation and reduced cloud cover. Trader consensus reflects this verified data with near-certainty (100% implied probability on 22°C), embodying skin-in-the-game alignment with observational evidence. Realistic challenges include rare SMN quality-control revisions from instrument calibration discrepancies or metadata errors, though historical audit rates for daily maxima remain below 0.1%. Final SMN bulletin expected within 24 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions