Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional and global models indicates a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25 most likely near 15°C, with 14–16°C as the core range supported by current atmospheric conditions over the Río de la Plata region. Late-August climatology shows average daily maxima around 15–16°C, and preliminary model consensus places tomorrow’s peak within this band amid typical wintertime variability from passing frontal systems. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 15°C (45.5%) and 14°C (35.5%) reflects trader assessment of minimal deviation risk before official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations finalize the daily maximum, while lower-probability tails for 13°C or 17°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or warming. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term driver.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月25日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
8月25日布宜諾斯艾利斯的最高溫度？
15°C 46%
14°C 36%
16°C 14%
13°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
9°C or below
2%
10°C
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
6%
14°C
36%
15°C
46%
16°C
14%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
2%
15°C 46%
14°C 36%
16°C 14%
13°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
9°C or below
$5 交易量
2%
10°C
$5 交易量
2%
11°C
$5 交易量
2%
12°C
$94 交易量
3%
13°C
$166 交易量
6%
14°C
$549 交易量
36%
15°C
$135 交易量
46%
16°C
$105 交易量
14%
17°C
$74 交易量
2%
18°C
$5 交易量
2%
19°C or higher
$5 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional and global models indicates a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25 most likely near 15°C, with 14–16°C as the core range supported by current atmospheric conditions over the Río de la Plata region. Late-August climatology shows average daily maxima around 15–16°C, and preliminary model consensus places tomorrow’s peak within this band amid typical wintertime variability from passing frontal systems. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 15°C (45.5%) and 14°C (35.5%) reflects trader assessment of minimal deviation risk before official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations finalize the daily maximum, while lower-probability tails for 13°C or 17°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or warming. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
交易量
$1,148結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from regional and global models indicates a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25 most likely near 15°C, with 14–16°C as the core range supported by current atmospheric conditions over the Río de la Plata region. Late-August climatology shows average daily maxima around 15–16°C, and preliminary model consensus places tomorrow’s peak within this band amid typical wintertime variability from passing frontal systems. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 15°C (45.5%) and 14°C (35.5%) reflects trader assessment of minimal deviation risk before official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations finalize the daily maximum, while lower-probability tails for 13°C or 17°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or warming. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term driver.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,148結束日期
2026-08-25市場開放時間
Aug 23, 2026, 8:55 PM ETRecent short-range forecast guidance from regional and global models indicates a highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 25 most likely near 15°C, with 14–16°C as the core range supported by current atmospheric conditions over the Río de la Plata region. Late-August climatology shows average daily maxima around 15–16°C, and preliminary model consensus places tomorrow’s peak within this band amid typical wintertime variability from passing frontal systems. The tight clustering of market-implied odds on 15°C (45.5%) and 14°C (35.5%) reflects trader assessment of minimal deviation risk before official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations finalize the daily maximum, while lower-probability tails for 13°C or 17°C+ capture residual uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing or warming. Updated model runs ahead of resolution will be the key near-term driver.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions