**Recent forecast updates for Chengdu show considerable uncertainty in the June 23 high temperature, with model guidance clustered around 27–30 °C amid the early East Asian monsoon transition.** Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northeasterly flow are the dominant short-term controls: increased insolation under partial clearing could push readings toward 29–30 °C, while persistent overcast or convective rain would cap values near 27–28 °C. Current ensemble spreads from global models reflect this narrow range, consistent with the market’s dispersed probabilities and modest premiums on the 28 °C and 29 °C bins. Historical June climatology for the Sichuan Basin places typical highs near 28–30 °C with frequent humidity-driven moderation, and no major synoptic shift (such as a strong subtropical ridge) is indicated in the next 48 hours. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome as a tight distribution rather than a single favored value, pending the next model runs and observational updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 23?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 23?
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$46,745 交易量
$46,745 交易量
2026-06-23
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$46,745 交易量
$46,745 交易量
2026-06-23
25°C or below
$2,034 交易量
No
26°C
$2,298 交易量
No
27°C
$2,957 交易量
No
28°C
$6,898 交易量
No
29°C
$7,034 交易量
No
30°C
$11,221 交易量
Yes
31°C
$3,197 交易量
No
32°C
$5,802 交易量
No
33°C
$4,707 交易量
No
34°C
$435 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$160 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast updates for Chengdu show considerable uncertainty in the June 23 high temperature, with model guidance clustered around 27–30 °C amid the early East Asian monsoon transition.** Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northeasterly flow are the dominant short-term controls: increased insolation under partial clearing could push readings toward 29–30 °C, while persistent overcast or convective rain would cap values near 27–28 °C. Current ensemble spreads from global models reflect this narrow range, consistent with the market’s dispersed probabilities and modest premiums on the 28 °C and 29 °C bins. Historical June climatology for the Sichuan Basin places typical highs near 28–30 °C with frequent humidity-driven moderation, and no major synoptic shift (such as a strong subtropical ridge) is indicated in the next 48 hours. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome as a tight distribution rather than a single favored value, pending the next model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 21, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$46,745結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 21, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast updates for Chengdu show considerable uncertainty in the June 23 high temperature, with model guidance clustered around 27–30 °C amid the early East Asian monsoon transition.** Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northeasterly flow are the dominant short-term controls: increased insolation under partial clearing could push readings toward 29–30 °C, while persistent overcast or convective rain would cap values near 27–28 °C. Current ensemble spreads from global models reflect this narrow range, consistent with the market’s dispersed probabilities and modest premiums on the 28 °C and 29 °C bins. Historical June climatology for the Sichuan Basin places typical highs near 28–30 °C with frequent humidity-driven moderation, and no major synoptic shift (such as a strong subtropical ridge) is indicated in the next 48 hours. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome as a tight distribution rather than a single favored value, pending the next model runs and observational updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$46,745結束日期
2026-06-23市場開放時間
Jun 21, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Recent forecast updates for Chengdu show considerable uncertainty in the June 23 high temperature, with model guidance clustered around 27–30 °C amid the early East Asian monsoon transition.** Variable cloud cover, scattered showers, and light northeasterly flow are the dominant short-term controls: increased insolation under partial clearing could push readings toward 29–30 °C, while persistent overcast or convective rain would cap values near 27–28 °C. Current ensemble spreads from global models reflect this narrow range, consistent with the market’s dispersed probabilities and modest premiums on the 28 °C and 29 °C bins. Historical June climatology for the Sichuan Basin places typical highs near 28–30 °C with frequent humidity-driven moderation, and no major synoptic shift (such as a strong subtropical ridge) is indicated in the next 48 hours. Traders are therefore pricing the outcome as a tight distribution rather than a single favored value, pending the next model runs and observational updates.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions