Latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts, updated overnight, project London's highest temperature on April 17 at 17-18°C amid sunny intervals and light southwesterly breezes around 12 mph, driving the near-even trader split between these outcomes with 36% and 35% implied probabilities respectively. This consensus reflects post-shower clearing skies following recent heavy rain, enabling peak solar heating in the afternoon, though lingering cloud patches could cap maxima at 17°C while fuller sun breaks push to 18°C. Light winds limit vertical mixing of cooler air, but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty—tied to model divergences in cloud evolution—keeps higher temperatures like 19°C at just 16.5%. New observational data and model runs expected today may sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in London on April 17?
Highest temperature in London on April 17?
17°C 36%
18°C 36%
19°C 15%
16°C 10.0%
$15,629 交易量
$15,629 交易量
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
36%
18°C
36%
19°C
15%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 36%
18°C 36%
19°C 15%
16°C 10.0%
$15,629 交易量
$15,629 交易量
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
10%
17°C
36%
18°C
36%
19°C
15%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts, updated overnight, project London's highest temperature on April 17 at 17-18°C amid sunny intervals and light southwesterly breezes around 12 mph, driving the near-even trader split between these outcomes with 36% and 35% implied probabilities respectively. This consensus reflects post-shower clearing skies following recent heavy rain, enabling peak solar heating in the afternoon, though lingering cloud patches could cap maxima at 17°C while fuller sun breaks push to 18°C. Light winds limit vertical mixing of cooler air, but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty—tied to model divergences in cloud evolution—keeps higher temperatures like 19°C at just 16.5%. New observational data and model runs expected today may sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions