Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Official guidance from agencies such as the Spanish State Meteorological Agency and international models shows stable atmospheric patterns without significant warming or cooling shifts, consistent with late-spring climatology where highs typically range from 28–32°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on June 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 6?
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$83,489 交易量
$83,489 交易量
2026-06-06
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$83,489 交易量
$83,489 交易量
2026-06-06
24°C or below
$11 交易量
No
25°C
$11 交易量
No
26°C
$577 交易量
No
27°C
$2,216 交易量
No
28°C
$12,361 交易量
No
29°C
$28,514 交易量
No
30°C
$13,813 交易量
Yes
31°C
$9,781 交易量
No
32°C
$9,070 交易量
No
33°C
$4,121 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$3,014 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Official guidance from agencies such as the Spanish State Meteorological Agency and international models shows stable atmospheric patterns without significant warming or cooling shifts, consistent with late-spring climatology where highs typically range from 28–32°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$83,489結束日期
2026-06-06市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Official guidance from agencies such as the Spanish State Meteorological Agency and international models shows stable atmospheric patterns without significant warming or cooling shifts, consistent with late-spring climatology where highs typically range from 28–32°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$83,489結束日期
2026-06-06市場開放時間
Jun 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Current meteorological forecasts for Madrid on June 6 indicate a maximum temperature of 30°C under mostly sunny conditions with light winds, aligning with the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Official guidance from agencies such as the Spanish State Meteorological Agency and international models shows stable atmospheric patterns without significant warming or cooling shifts, consistent with late-spring climatology where highs typically range from 28–32°C. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge or measurement revision exceeding forecast uncertainty ranges, though current conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions