The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for Taipei on April 17 projects daytime highs of 23-30°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 30°C as the slim leader at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 31°C (21.5%) and 29°C (18%). This tight clustering reflects model uncertainty in peak solar insolation, as scattered clouds and light winds could suppress maxima below 30°C or allow brief clearing for a push to 31°C amid Taipei's urban heat island effect. Recent observations show April daytime temperatures averaging 26-28°C historically, with yesterday's highs near 29°C amid similar weather. Key differentiators include shower timing and cloud fraction; watch CWA hourly updates and station readings from Taipei Songshan for resolution cues as the market nears close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on April 17?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 17?
30°C 27%
31°C 21%
29°C 19%
28°C 17%
$16,412 交易量
$16,412 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
17%
29°C
19%
30°C
27%
31°C
21%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 27%
31°C 21%
29°C 19%
28°C 17%
$16,412 交易量
$16,412 交易量
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
6%
28°C
17%
29°C
19%
30°C
27%
31°C
21%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast for Taipei on April 17 projects daytime highs of 23-30°C under partly cloudy conditions with occasional showers, anchoring trader sentiment with 30°C as the slim leader at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 31°C (21.5%) and 29°C (18%). This tight clustering reflects model uncertainty in peak solar insolation, as scattered clouds and light winds could suppress maxima below 30°C or allow brief clearing for a push to 31°C amid Taipei's urban heat island effect. Recent observations show April daytime temperatures averaging 26-28°C historically, with yesterday's highs near 29°C amid similar weather. Key differentiators include shower timing and cloud fraction; watch CWA hourly updates and station readings from Taipei Songshan for resolution cues as the market nears close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions