Trader consensus clusters around 24–26°C (combined ~73% implied probability) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts projecting peaks of 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include subtle spreads in global model ensembles—GFS and ECMWF runs vary by 1–2°C due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, solar insolation, and low-level moisture from the Río de la Plata, which could suppress or enhance heating. This autumnal mildness aligns with a high-pressure ridge over southern South America, slightly above the 22°C April climatological average. Watch for SMN's final hourly updates resolving via official Aeroparque measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 17?
24°C 27%
25°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 16%
$13,176 交易量
$13,176 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
16%
24°C
27%
25°C
25%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
24°C 27%
25°C 25%
26°C 22%
23°C 16%
$13,176 交易量
$13,176 交易量
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
16%
24°C
27%
25°C
25%
26°C
22%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus clusters around 24–26°C (combined ~73% implied probability) for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 17, driven by the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) guidance and AccuWeather forecasts projecting peaks of 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds. Differentiating factors include subtle spreads in global model ensembles—GFS and ECMWF runs vary by 1–2°C due to uncertainties in afternoon cloud cover, solar insolation, and low-level moisture from the Río de la Plata, which could suppress or enhance heating. This autumnal mildness aligns with a high-pressure ridge over southern South America, slightly above the 22°C April climatological average. Watch for SMN's final hourly updates resolving via official Aeroparque measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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