The National Weather Service's latest forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, show Denver's high temperature on April 17 converging around 54°F, driving the 65% market-implied probability for 54°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment. A sharp cooldown over the past 48 hours—triggered by an upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air and increased cloud cover—has suppressed highs well below the April 17 climatological normal of 62°F, with a Freeze Watch issued for overnight lows potentially dipping below 32°F. Light precipitation chances northwest of Denver add minor uncertainty, but model agreement limits outliers below 50°F; watch for the 12Z NWS update tomorrow for final refinements ahead of resolution at Denver International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于4月17日丹佛的最高温度？
4月17日丹佛的最高温度？
54°F or higher 63%
52-53°F 10%
50-51°F 9%
48-49°F 6.6%
最新
$18,923 交易量
最新
$18,923 交易量
2026-04-17
35°F or below
<1%
36-37°F
1%
38-39°F
1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
7%
50-51°F
9%
52-53°F
10%
54°F or higher
63%
54°F or higher 63%
52-53°F 10%
50-51°F 9%
48-49°F 6.6%
最新
$18,923 交易量
最新
$18,923 交易量
2026-04-17
35°F or below
$5,732 交易量
<1%
36-37°F
$3,335 交易量
1%
38-39°F
$2,243 交易量
1%
40-41°F
$1,143 交易量
<1%
42-43°F
$812 交易量
1%
44-45°F
$1,426 交易量
2%
46-47°F
$328 交易量
2%
48-49°F
$523 交易量
7%
50-51°F
$712 交易量
9%
52-53°F
$554 交易量
10%
54°F or higher
$2,115 交易量
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, show Denver's high temperature on April 17 converging around 54°F, driving the 65% market-implied probability for 54°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment. A sharp cooldown over the past 48 hours—triggered by an upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air and increased cloud cover—has suppressed highs well below the April 17 climatological normal of 62°F, with a Freeze Watch issued for overnight lows potentially dipping below 32°F. Light precipitation chances northwest of Denver add minor uncertainty, but model agreement limits outliers below 50°F; watch for the 12Z NWS update tomorrow for final refinements ahead of resolution at Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
交易量
$18,923结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, show Denver's high temperature on April 17 converging around 54°F, driving the 65% market-implied probability for 54°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment. A sharp cooldown over the past 48 hours—triggered by an upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air and increased cloud cover—has suppressed highs well below the April 17 climatological normal of 62°F, with a Freeze Watch issued for overnight lows potentially dipping below 32°F. Light precipitation chances northwest of Denver add minor uncertainty, but model agreement limits outliers below 50°F; watch for the 12Z NWS update tomorrow for final refinements ahead of resolution at Denver International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$18,923结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThe National Weather Service's latest forecast models, including GFS and ECMWF ensembles, show Denver's high temperature on April 17 converging around 54°F, driving the 65% market-implied probability for 54°F or higher as trader consensus reflects this skin-in-the-game assessment. A sharp cooldown over the past 48 hours—triggered by an upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air and increased cloud cover—has suppressed highs well below the April 17 climatological normal of 62°F, with a Freeze Watch issued for overnight lows potentially dipping below 32°F. Light precipitation chances northwest of Denver add minor uncertainty, but model agreement limits outliers below 50°F; watch for the 12Z NWS update tomorrow for final refinements ahead of resolution at Denver International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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