Latest BMKG forecasts for April 17 project maximum air temperatures of 30°C at the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution point—in Jakarta Timur under partly cloudy to light rain conditions with 70-98% humidity, anchoring trader sentiment below 35°C. However, international models like AccuWeather indicate potential highs near 34°C amid variable cloudiness and afternoon thunderstorms, explaining the razor-thin implied probabilities for 33°C (29%) and 34°C (29.5%) over 32°C (25%). Key differentiators include the timing of convective showers, which could suppress peaks if early, versus delayed clearing allowing urban heat island effects to push readings higher; typical April climatology at Halim averages 32°C. New hourly BMKG updates expected throughout the day will sharpen consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
33°C 30%
34°C 29%
32°C 25%
35°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
25%
33°C
30%
34°C
29%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 30%
34°C 29%
32°C 25%
35°C 12%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
25%
33°C
30%
34°C
29%
35°C
12%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest BMKG forecasts for April 17 project maximum air temperatures of 30°C at the Halim Perdanakusuma International Airport station—the market's resolution point—in Jakarta Timur under partly cloudy to light rain conditions with 70-98% humidity, anchoring trader sentiment below 35°C. However, international models like AccuWeather indicate potential highs near 34°C amid variable cloudiness and afternoon thunderstorms, explaining the razor-thin implied probabilities for 33°C (29%) and 34°C (29.5%) over 32°C (25%). Key differentiators include the timing of convective showers, which could suppress peaks if early, versus delayed clearing allowing urban heat island effects to push readings higher; typical April climatology at Halim averages 32°C. New hourly BMKG updates expected throughout the day will sharpen consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题