Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model disagreement for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 17, with BMKG's official short-term guidance capping daytime highs at 30-31°C amid 70-98% light rain probabilities across DKI Jakarta districts, while international models like AccuWeather imply 33°C (91°F) peaks under mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers. Recent days logged 31-32°C highs—sunny on April 15, patchy rain on April 14—highlighting cloud cover variability as the key differentiator: minimal convective activity could boost solar insolation and urban heat island effects toward 34°C, whereas afternoon showers suppress to 32°C. April climatology averages 32°C, with early dry season onset adding upside risk; watch BMKG's April 16 evening update for refined convective outlooks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 17?
34°C 32%
33°C 28%
32°C 26%
35°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
26%
33°C
28%
34°C
32%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 32%
33°C 28%
32°C 26%
35°C 10%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
8%
32°C
26%
33°C
28%
34°C
32%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model disagreement for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 17, with BMKG's official short-term guidance capping daytime highs at 30-31°C amid 70-98% light rain probabilities across DKI Jakarta districts, while international models like AccuWeather imply 33°C (91°F) peaks under mostly cloudy conditions with isolated showers. Recent days logged 31-32°C highs—sunny on April 15, patchy rain on April 14—highlighting cloud cover variability as the key differentiator: minimal convective activity could boost solar insolation and urban heat island effects toward 34°C, whereas afternoon showers suppress to 32°C. April climatology averages 32°C, with early dry season onset adding upside risk; watch BMKG's April 16 evening update for refined convective outlooks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题