Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast for Mexico City, estimating a maximum temperature of 27-29°C on April 17 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds from the north. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 32% implied probability, with 30°C (25%) and 28°C (21.5%) tight contenders, reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon heating around 3 PM local time. Recent days saw highs of 26-28°C under similar stable high-pressure conditions, slightly above April climatological averages of 25-27°C. Differentiating factors include potential convective cloud bursts capping temperatures at 28°C or urban heat island effects pushing toward 30°C, as global models like GFS and ECMWF show minor ensemble spreads. Final SMN advisories and Benito Juárez airport observations will sharpen resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 26%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
25°C or below
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
7%
28°C
22%
29°C
32%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C
8%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
28°C 28%
30°C 26%
31°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
25°C or below
$906 交易量
1%
26°C
$2,263 交易量
5%
27°C
$556 交易量
7%
28°C
$247 交易量
22%
29°C
$224 交易量
32%
30°C
$143 交易量
24%
31°C
$199 交易量
12%
32°C
$389 交易量
8%
33°C
$380 交易量
2%
34°C
$496 交易量
1%
35°C or higher
$1,852 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast for Mexico City, estimating a maximum temperature of 27-29°C on April 17 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds from the north. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 32% implied probability, with 30°C (25%) and 28°C (21.5%) tight contenders, reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon heating around 3 PM local time. Recent days saw highs of 26-28°C under similar stable high-pressure conditions, slightly above April climatological averages of 25-27°C. Differentiating factors include potential convective cloud bursts capping temperatures at 28°C or urban heat island effects pushing toward 30°C, as global models like GFS and ECMWF show minor ensemble spreads. Final SMN advisories and Benito Juárez airport observations will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
交易量
$7,654结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast for Mexico City, estimating a maximum temperature of 27-29°C on April 17 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds from the north. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 32% implied probability, with 30°C (25%) and 28°C (21.5%) tight contenders, reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon heating around 3 PM local time. Recent days saw highs of 26-28°C under similar stable high-pressure conditions, slightly above April climatological averages of 25-27°C. Differentiating factors include potential convective cloud bursts capping temperatures at 28°C or urban heat island effects pushing toward 30°C, as global models like GFS and ECMWF show minor ensemble spreads. Final SMN advisories and Benito Juárez airport observations will sharpen resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,654结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely mirrors the latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecast for Mexico City, estimating a maximum temperature of 27-29°C on April 17 amid partly cloudy skies and light winds from the north. This positions 29°C as the market leader at 32% implied probability, with 30°C (25%) and 28°C (21.5%) tight contenders, reflecting uncertainty in peak afternoon heating around 3 PM local time. Recent days saw highs of 26-28°C under similar stable high-pressure conditions, slightly above April climatological averages of 25-27°C. Differentiating factors include potential convective cloud bursts capping temperatures at 28°C or urban heat island effects pushing toward 30°C, as global models like GFS and ECMWF show minor ensemble spreads. Final SMN advisories and Benito Juárez airport observations will sharpen resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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