Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 58-65°F for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) Bay Area guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting peaks in the upper 50s to low 60s at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO). This positioning stems from a recent cooling trend after record highs on April 4-5, with persistent marine stratus decks, moderate onshore flow (10-15 kt west-southwesterly winds), and a strong low-level temperature inversion suppressing daytime heating. Differentiation among leading outcomes hinges on stratus burn-off timing—earlier clearing could boost 62-65°F probabilities, while prolonged cloud cover favors 58-61°F—amid inherent forecast uncertainty two days out. Watch NWS updates and fresh 12Z models for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?
58-59°F 29%
60-61°F 22%
62-63°F 21%
64-65°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
1%
54-55°F
2%
56-57°F
6%
58-59°F
24%
60-61°F
22%
62-63°F
21%
64-65°F
18%
66°F or higher
12%
58-59°F 29%
60-61°F 22%
62-63°F 21%
64-65°F 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
47°F or below
$520 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$1,152 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$461 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$794 交易量
1%
54-55°F
$365 交易量
2%
56-57°F
$353 交易量
6%
58-59°F
$545 交易量
24%
60-61°F
$323 交易量
22%
62-63°F
$252 交易量
21%
64-65°F
$258 交易量
18%
66°F or higher
$499 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 58-65°F for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) Bay Area guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting peaks in the upper 50s to low 60s at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO). This positioning stems from a recent cooling trend after record highs on April 4-5, with persistent marine stratus decks, moderate onshore flow (10-15 kt west-southwesterly winds), and a strong low-level temperature inversion suppressing daytime heating. Differentiation among leading outcomes hinges on stratus burn-off timing—earlier clearing could boost 62-65°F probabilities, while prolonged cloud cover favors 58-61°F—amid inherent forecast uncertainty two days out. Watch NWS updates and fresh 12Z models for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$5,522结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 58-65°F for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) Bay Area guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting peaks in the upper 50s to low 60s at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO). This positioning stems from a recent cooling trend after record highs on April 4-5, with persistent marine stratus decks, moderate onshore flow (10-15 kt west-southwesterly winds), and a strong low-level temperature inversion suppressing daytime heating. Differentiation among leading outcomes hinges on stratus burn-off timing—earlier clearing could boost 62-65°F probabilities, while prolonged cloud cover favors 58-61°F—amid inherent forecast uncertainty two days out. Watch NWS updates and fresh 12Z models for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,522结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 58-65°F for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest National Weather Service (NWS) Bay Area guidance and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting peaks in the upper 50s to low 60s at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO). This positioning stems from a recent cooling trend after record highs on April 4-5, with persistent marine stratus decks, moderate onshore flow (10-15 kt west-southwesterly winds), and a strong low-level temperature inversion suppressing daytime heating. Differentiation among leading outcomes hinges on stratus burn-off timing—earlier clearing could boost 62-65°F probabilities, while prolonged cloud cover favors 58-61°F—amid inherent forecast uncertainty two days out. Watch NWS updates and fresh 12Z models for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题