Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 36.5% implied probability to a 58-59°F high at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 12, closely trailed by 56-57°F (31.5%) and 60-61°F (25.5%), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast of 64°F amid 90% precipitation odds for showers and possible thunderstorms under breezy south winds gusting to 33 mph. Persistent cloud cover from an incoming trough and marine stratus—common in April's cool onshore flow—will limit solar insolation and peak heating, while exact timing of afternoon convective showers differentiates outcomes: earlier onset favors cooler peaks near 56°F, delayed clearing supports 60°F+. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread in the mid-50s to upper 60s, underscoring short-range uncertainty; new evening runs and morning soundings may shift odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 12?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 12?
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 32%
60-61°F 18%
62-63°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
32%
58-59°F
37%
60-61°F
18%
62-63°F
7%
64-65°F
3%
66°F or higher
1%
58-59°F 37%
56-57°F 32%
60-61°F 18%
62-63°F 7%
最新
最新
2026-04-12
47°F or below
$945 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$2,256 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$792 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$386 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$780 交易量
4%
56-57°F
$480 交易量
32%
58-59°F
$529 交易量
37%
60-61°F
$735 交易量
18%
62-63°F
$458 交易量
7%
64-65°F
$384 交易量
3%
66°F or higher
$731 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 36.5% implied probability to a 58-59°F high at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 12, closely trailed by 56-57°F (31.5%) and 60-61°F (25.5%), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast of 64°F amid 90% precipitation odds for showers and possible thunderstorms under breezy south winds gusting to 33 mph. Persistent cloud cover from an incoming trough and marine stratus—common in April's cool onshore flow—will limit solar insolation and peak heating, while exact timing of afternoon convective showers differentiates outcomes: earlier onset favors cooler peaks near 56°F, delayed clearing supports 60°F+. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread in the mid-50s to upper 60s, underscoring short-range uncertainty; new evening runs and morning soundings may shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 8, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
交易量
$8,476结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:34 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 36.5% implied probability to a 58-59°F high at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 12, closely trailed by 56-57°F (31.5%) and 60-61°F (25.5%), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast of 64°F amid 90% precipitation odds for showers and possible thunderstorms under breezy south winds gusting to 33 mph. Persistent cloud cover from an incoming trough and marine stratus—common in April's cool onshore flow—will limit solar insolation and peak heating, while exact timing of afternoon convective showers differentiates outcomes: earlier onset favors cooler peaks near 56°F, delayed clearing supports 60°F+. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread in the mid-50s to upper 60s, underscoring short-range uncertainty; new evening runs and morning soundings may shift odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,476结束日期
2026-04-12市场开放时间
Apr 8, 2026, 12:34 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns 36.5% implied probability to a 58-59°F high at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 12, closely trailed by 56-57°F (31.5%) and 60-61°F (25.5%), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast of 64°F amid 90% precipitation odds for showers and possible thunderstorms under breezy south winds gusting to 33 mph. Persistent cloud cover from an incoming trough and marine stratus—common in April's cool onshore flow—will limit solar insolation and peak heating, while exact timing of afternoon convective showers differentiates outcomes: earlier onset favors cooler peaks near 56°F, delayed clearing supports 60°F+. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show spread in the mid-50s to upper 60s, underscoring short-range uncertainty; new evening runs and morning soundings may shift odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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