Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs over the past 24 hours project peak temperatures of 32–35°C at Ben Gurion International Airport near Tel Aviv on April 17, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating. Light southerly winds advect warmer desert air, boosting potential above the Israel Meteorological Service's conservative 30°C forecast, while sea breeze development could cap coastal readings. With probabilities tightly clustered (34°C at 31%, 33°C at 25%), uncertainty stems from model spread on boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud cover; new 12Z ensembles expected overnight may sharpen the outlook before resolution via NOAA observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
34°C 33%
33°C 26%
35°C or higher 21%
32°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C
33%
35°C or higher
21%
34°C 33%
33°C 26%
35°C or higher 21%
32°C 15%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
5%
32°C
21%
33°C
26%
34°C
33%
35°C or higher
21%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ECMWF and GFS model runs over the past 24 hours project peak temperatures of 32–35°C at Ben Gurion International Airport near Tel Aviv on April 17, driving trader consensus toward these outcomes amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean that promotes subsidence, clear skies, and efficient daytime heating. Light southerly winds advect warmer desert air, boosting potential above the Israel Meteorological Service's conservative 30°C forecast, while sea breeze development could cap coastal readings. With probabilities tightly clustered (34°C at 31%, 33°C at 25%), uncertainty stems from model spread on boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud cover; new 12Z ensembles expected overnight may sharpen the outlook before resolution via NOAA observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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