Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 15 projects a high of 21°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, following today's observed 21°C peak amid similar conditions. However, trader consensus on Polymarket—implied probabilities peaking at 36.5% for 18°C, 25.5% for 19°C, and 18% for 17°C—reflects caution over short-term model uncertainty and springtime variability, where mid-April highs typically average 19°C with frequent cloud cover limiting solar heating. Ensemble forecasts show divergence, with cooler outcomes possible from incoming frontal moisture; watch for JMA's next update this afternoon, which could refine intensification potential or steering patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 17?
18°C 37%
19°C 27%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
最新
$14,109 交易量
最新
$14,109 交易量
2026-04-17
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
5%
17°C
19%
18°C
37%
19°C
27%
20°C
9%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
3%
18°C 37%
19°C 27%
17°C 19%
20°C 9%
最新
$14,109 交易量
最新
$14,109 交易量
2026-04-17
12°C or below
$1,951 交易量
<1%
13°C
$1,935 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,762 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,322 交易量
3%
16°C
$997 交易量
5%
17°C
$517 交易量
19%
18°C
$715 交易量
37%
19°C
$518 交易量
27%
20°C
$1,312 交易量
9%
21°C
$1,488 交易量
3%
22°C or higher
$1,628 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 15 projects a high of 21°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, following today's observed 21°C peak amid similar conditions. However, trader consensus on Polymarket—implied probabilities peaking at 36.5% for 18°C, 25.5% for 19°C, and 18% for 17°C—reflects caution over short-term model uncertainty and springtime variability, where mid-April highs typically average 19°C with frequent cloud cover limiting solar heating. Ensemble forecasts show divergence, with cooler outcomes possible from incoming frontal moisture; watch for JMA's next update this afternoon, which could refine intensification potential or steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$14,109结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 15 projects a high of 21°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, following today's observed 21°C peak amid similar conditions. However, trader consensus on Polymarket—implied probabilities peaking at 36.5% for 18°C, 25.5% for 19°C, and 18% for 17°C—reflects caution over short-term model uncertainty and springtime variability, where mid-April highs typically average 19°C with frequent cloud cover limiting solar heating. Ensemble forecasts show divergence, with cooler outcomes possible from incoming frontal moisture; watch for JMA's next update this afternoon, which could refine intensification potential or steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,109结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETJapan Meteorological Agency's forecast issued April 15 projects a high of 21°C at Tokyo's Haneda Airport station on April 17 under cloudy skies with sunny intervals and 20% precipitation chance, following today's observed 21°C peak amid similar conditions. However, trader consensus on Polymarket—implied probabilities peaking at 36.5% for 18°C, 25.5% for 19°C, and 18% for 17°C—reflects caution over short-term model uncertainty and springtime variability, where mid-April highs typically average 19°C with frequent cloud cover limiting solar heating. Ensemble forecasts show divergence, with cooler outcomes possible from incoming frontal moisture; watch for JMA's next update this afternoon, which could refine intensification potential or steering patterns.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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