Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 48.5% probability for a 60-61°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 11, driven by National Weather Service observational data and short-range forecast models highlighting persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate onshore winds capping daytime warming. Recent developments include light rain totaling 0.48 inches at KSFO on April 10—following a 72°F high on April 9 and 66°F on April 10—amid a cooling trend from an earlier warm spell, with overnight lows near 52°F providing limited recovery potential. April climatological normals average 63-64°F highs, but current cool Pacific sea surface temperatures and delayed burn-off of coastal fog favor modest peaks below 65°F. Hourly METAR observations through sunset around 7:40 PM PDT will clarify the trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 11?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 11?
60-61°F 49%
62-63°F 38%
58-59°F 10%
64-65°F 6.6%
$37,209 Vol.
$37,209 Vol.
11 abr 2026
58-59°F
10%
60-61°F
51%
62-63°F
38%
64-65°F
7%
66°F or higher
2%
60-61°F 49%
62-63°F 38%
58-59°F 10%
64-65°F 6.6%
$37,209 Vol.
$37,209 Vol.
11 abr 2026
58-59°F
$3,758 Vol.
10%
60-61°F
$2,101 Vol.
51%
62-63°F
$3,187 Vol.
38%
64-65°F
$4,006 Vol.
7%
66°F or higher
$4,006 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 48.5% probability for a 60-61°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 11, driven by National Weather Service observational data and short-range forecast models highlighting persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate onshore winds capping daytime warming. Recent developments include light rain totaling 0.48 inches at KSFO on April 10—following a 72°F high on April 9 and 66°F on April 10—amid a cooling trend from an earlier warm spell, with overnight lows near 52°F providing limited recovery potential. April climatological normals average 63-64°F highs, but current cool Pacific sea surface temperatures and delayed burn-off of coastal fog favor modest peaks below 65°F. Hourly METAR observations through sunset around 7:40 PM PDT will clarify the trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$37,209Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 48.5% probability for a 60-61°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 11, driven by National Weather Service observational data and short-range forecast models highlighting persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate onshore winds capping daytime warming. Recent developments include light rain totaling 0.48 inches at KSFO on April 10—following a 72°F high on April 9 and 66°F on April 10—amid a cooling trend from an earlier warm spell, with overnight lows near 52°F providing limited recovery potential. April climatological normals average 63-64°F highs, but current cool Pacific sea surface temperatures and delayed burn-off of coastal fog favor modest peaks below 65°F. Hourly METAR observations through sunset around 7:40 PM PDT will clarify the trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$37,209Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 48.5% probability for a 60-61°F high temperature at San Francisco International Airport (KSFO) on April 11, driven by National Weather Service observational data and short-range forecast models highlighting persistent marine layer stratus clouds and moderate onshore winds capping daytime warming. Recent developments include light rain totaling 0.48 inches at KSFO on April 10—following a 72°F high on April 9 and 66°F on April 10—amid a cooling trend from an earlier warm spell, with overnight lows near 52°F providing limited recovery potential. April climatological normals average 63-64°F highs, but current cool Pacific sea surface temperatures and delayed burn-off of coastal fog favor modest peaks below 65°F. Hourly METAR observations through sunset around 7:40 PM PDT will clarify the trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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