Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area forecasts for April 13 highs at San Francisco International Airport (SFO), with GFS ensembles favoring mid-60s peaks via earlier marine stratus burn-off and ECMWF leaning toward persistent low clouds capping at upper 50s to low 60s. Recent area forecast discussions highlight light onshore winds sustaining the cool marine layer observed over the past week, including April 9's observed high of 55°F well below April climatological norms near 64°F. Differentiating factors include afternoon clearing potential, which hinges on subtle shifts in boundary layer winds and upper-level ridging; new 12Z model runs and evening updates expected Saturday could tip the balance toward warmer outcomes if southerlies weaken.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 13?
62-63°F 28%
60-61°F 26%
58-59°F 22%
64-65°F 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
2%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
5%
58-59°F
22%
60-61°F
26%
62-63°F
28%
64-65°F
20%
66°F or higher
11%
62-63°F 28%
60-61°F 26%
58-59°F 22%
64-65°F 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
47°F or below
$550 Vol.
<1%
48-49°F
$1,427 Vol.
<1%
50-51°F
$1,016 Vol.
<1%
52-53°F
$812 Vol.
2%
54-55°F
$396 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$404 Vol.
5%
58-59°F
$716 Vol.
22%
60-61°F
$370 Vol.
26%
62-63°F
$337 Vol.
28%
64-65°F
$307 Vol.
20%
66°F or higher
$584 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area forecasts for April 13 highs at San Francisco International Airport (SFO), with GFS ensembles favoring mid-60s peaks via earlier marine stratus burn-off and ECMWF leaning toward persistent low clouds capping at upper 50s to low 60s. Recent area forecast discussions highlight light onshore winds sustaining the cool marine layer observed over the past week, including April 9's observed high of 55°F well below April climatological norms near 64°F. Differentiating factors include afternoon clearing potential, which hinges on subtle shifts in boundary layer winds and upper-level ridging; new 12Z model runs and evening updates expected Saturday could tip the balance toward warmer outcomes if southerlies weaken.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volumen
$6,919Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area forecasts for April 13 highs at San Francisco International Airport (SFO), with GFS ensembles favoring mid-60s peaks via earlier marine stratus burn-off and ECMWF leaning toward persistent low clouds capping at upper 50s to low 60s. Recent area forecast discussions highlight light onshore winds sustaining the cool marine layer observed over the past week, including April 9's observed high of 55°F well below April climatological norms near 64°F. Differentiating factors include afternoon clearing potential, which hinges on subtle shifts in boundary layer winds and upper-level ridging; new 12Z model runs and evening updates expected Saturday could tip the balance toward warmer outcomes if southerlies weaken.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,919Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area forecasts for April 13 highs at San Francisco International Airport (SFO), with GFS ensembles favoring mid-60s peaks via earlier marine stratus burn-off and ECMWF leaning toward persistent low clouds capping at upper 50s to low 60s. Recent area forecast discussions highlight light onshore winds sustaining the cool marine layer observed over the past week, including April 9's observed high of 55°F well below April climatological norms near 64°F. Differentiating factors include afternoon clearing potential, which hinges on subtle shifts in boundary layer winds and upper-level ridging; new 12Z model runs and evening updates expected Saturday could tip the balance toward warmer outcomes if southerlies weaken.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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