Latest National Weather Service guidance for Denver points to a sunny Friday with a forecast high near 97°F, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 96–99°F. Clear skies and strong August insolation support rapid daytime heating, while Denver’s mile-high elevation limits extreme maxima compared to lower plains sites. Minor model spreads in the 8–14 day outlook and potential for patchy smoke or subtle wind shifts introduce uncertainty that keeps the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins nearly even. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly model runs through tonight will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 7?
96-97°F 36%
98-99°F 35%
94-95°F 17%
92-93°F 4%
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
17%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 36%
98-99°F 35%
94-95°F 17%
92-93°F 4%
87°F or below
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
4%
94-95°F
17%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
35%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Denver points to a sunny Friday with a forecast high near 97°F, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 96–99°F. Clear skies and strong August insolation support rapid daytime heating, while Denver’s mile-high elevation limits extreme maxima compared to lower plains sites. Minor model spreads in the 8–14 day outlook and potential for patchy smoke or subtle wind shifts introduce uncertainty that keeps the 96–97°F and 98–99°F bins nearly even. Updated NWS point forecasts and hourly model runs through tonight will refine the exact maximum before market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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