Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature near 94°F in Houston on August 7, aligning with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome. Persistent upper-level ridging supports hot, humid conditions typical of peak summer, yet a subtle weakening ridge and onshore flow from the Gulf are expected to cap daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 90s rather than pushing into the upper 90s seen earlier in the week. Ensemble consensus from both American and European models shows limited spread around this range, with sea-breeze timing and any isolated convection the main variables that could nudge readings slightly lower or allow brief spikes near 96°F. Historical August averages near 94°F provide additional context for the tight clustering of probabilities between 92-95°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Houston on August 7?
Highest temperature in Houston on August 7?
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 37%
96-97°F 9%
90-91°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
85°F or below
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
6%
92-93°F
37%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102-103°F
<1%
104°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 37%
96-97°F 9%
90-91°F 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 7, 2026
85°F or below
$246 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$321 Vol.
1%
88-89°F
$757 Vol.
3%
90-91°F
$511 Vol.
6%
92-93°F
$664 Vol.
37%
94-95°F
$1,412 Vol.
46%
96-97°F
$1,032 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$258 Vol.
2%
100-101°F
$215 Vol.
1%
102-103°F
$361 Vol.
<1%
104°F or higher
$337 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature near 94°F in Houston on August 7, aligning with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome. Persistent upper-level ridging supports hot, humid conditions typical of peak summer, yet a subtle weakening ridge and onshore flow from the Gulf are expected to cap daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 90s rather than pushing into the upper 90s seen earlier in the week. Ensemble consensus from both American and European models shows limited spread around this range, with sea-breeze timing and any isolated convection the main variables that could nudge readings slightly lower or allow brief spikes near 96°F. Historical August averages near 94°F provide additional context for the tight clustering of probabilities between 92-95°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$6,114End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature near 94°F in Houston on August 7, aligning with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome. Persistent upper-level ridging supports hot, humid conditions typical of peak summer, yet a subtle weakening ridge and onshore flow from the Gulf are expected to cap daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 90s rather than pushing into the upper 90s seen earlier in the week. Ensemble consensus from both American and European models shows limited spread around this range, with sea-breeze timing and any isolated convection the main variables that could nudge readings slightly lower or allow brief spikes near 96°F. Historical August averages near 94°F provide additional context for the tight clustering of probabilities between 92-95°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,114End Date
Aug 7, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a highest temperature near 94°F in Houston on August 7, aligning with the market's leading 94-95°F outcome. Persistent upper-level ridging supports hot, humid conditions typical of peak summer, yet a subtle weakening ridge and onshore flow from the Gulf are expected to cap daytime maxima in the low-to-mid 90s rather than pushing into the upper 90s seen earlier in the week. Ensemble consensus from both American and European models shows limited spread around this range, with sea-breeze timing and any isolated convection the main variables that could nudge readings slightly lower or allow brief spikes near 96°F. Historical August averages near 94°F provide additional context for the tight clustering of probabilities between 92-95°F.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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