Global forecast models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles project peak temperatures in Lagos around 32–34°C for April 17, driving trader consensus toward 33°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight clustering with 34°C (24.5%) and 32°C (22.5%). This reflects recent NiMet updates noting above-normal heat persisting into the early rainy season transition, with partly cloudy skies and high humidity (80–90%) fostering urban heat island effects but risking afternoon thunderstorms that could cap maxima via increased cloud cover or brief showers. Differentiation hinges on convective timing—early storms favor 32°C or below, delayed ones enable 34°C+—against April climatological averages of 32°C. Overnight model refreshes and airport observations will sharpen resolution before daily close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 17?
33°C 29%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
35°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
29%
34°C
25%
35°C
13%
36°C
10%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 29%
34°C 25%
32°C 22%
35°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
17 apr 2026
27°C or below
$1,523 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,216 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,645 Vol.
1%
30°C
$425 Vol.
2%
31°C
$434 Vol.
5%
32°C
$39 Vol.
22%
33°C
$67 Vol.
29%
34°C
$76 Vol.
25%
35°C
$59 Vol.
13%
36°C
$812 Vol.
10%
37°C or higher
$2,103 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Global forecast models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles project peak temperatures in Lagos around 32–34°C for April 17, driving trader consensus toward 33°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight clustering with 34°C (24.5%) and 32°C (22.5%). This reflects recent NiMet updates noting above-normal heat persisting into the early rainy season transition, with partly cloudy skies and high humidity (80–90%) fostering urban heat island effects but risking afternoon thunderstorms that could cap maxima via increased cloud cover or brief showers. Differentiation hinges on convective timing—early storms favor 32°C or below, delayed ones enable 34°C+—against April climatological averages of 32°C. Overnight model refreshes and airport observations will sharpen resolution before daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volume
$8,399Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Global forecast models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles project peak temperatures in Lagos around 32–34°C for April 17, driving trader consensus toward 33°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight clustering with 34°C (24.5%) and 32°C (22.5%). This reflects recent NiMet updates noting above-normal heat persisting into the early rainy season transition, with partly cloudy skies and high humidity (80–90%) fostering urban heat island effects but risking afternoon thunderstorms that could cap maxima via increased cloud cover or brief showers. Differentiation hinges on convective timing—early storms favor 32°C or below, delayed ones enable 34°C+—against April climatological averages of 32°C. Overnight model refreshes and airport observations will sharpen resolution before daily close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$8,399Data di fine
17 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 15, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Global forecast models including GFS and ECMWF ensembles project peak temperatures in Lagos around 32–34°C for April 17, driving trader consensus toward 33°C at 32.5% implied probability amid tight clustering with 34°C (24.5%) and 32°C (22.5%). This reflects recent NiMet updates noting above-normal heat persisting into the early rainy season transition, with partly cloudy skies and high humidity (80–90%) fostering urban heat island effects but risking afternoon thunderstorms that could cap maxima via increased cloud cover or brief showers. Differentiation hinges on convective timing—early storms favor 32°C or below, delayed ones enable 34°C+—against April climatological averages of 32°C. Overnight model refreshes and airport observations will sharpen resolution before daily close.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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