Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 19°C (42% implied probability) and 18°C (26%) as the highest temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on April 15, driven by the Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)'s latest short-range forecast projecting a daily maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers (30% chance, 1 mm total) alternating with sun, moderate westerly winds (Beaufort 3), and 50% sunshine. This positions outcomes above the mid-April climatological average of ~12°C, following April 14's observed high near 15°C amid a mild warming trend in westerly flow. Ensemble model runs reflect tight uncertainty around 17–20°C due to variable cloud cover and precipitation potential, with final observations determining resolution after midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 15?
19°C 39%
18°C 26%
20°C 13.2%
17°C 6%
新規
$14,890 Vol.
新規
$14,890 Vol.
2026/04/15
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
6%
18°C
26%
19°C
39%
20°C
13%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
2%
19°C 39%
18°C 26%
20°C 13.2%
17°C 6%
新規
$14,890 Vol.
新規
$14,890 Vol.
2026/04/15
12°C or below
$2,289 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,032 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$585 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,627 Vol.
1%
16°C
$1,826 Vol.
1%
17°C
$1,928 Vol.
6%
18°C
$1,058 Vol.
26%
19°C
$1,111 Vol.
39%
20°C
$737 Vol.
13%
21°C
$1,030 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$671 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 19°C (42% implied probability) and 18°C (26%) as the highest temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on April 15, driven by the Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)'s latest short-range forecast projecting a daily maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers (30% chance, 1 mm total) alternating with sun, moderate westerly winds (Beaufort 3), and 50% sunshine. This positions outcomes above the mid-April climatological average of ~12°C, following April 14's observed high near 15°C amid a mild warming trend in westerly flow. Ensemble model runs reflect tight uncertainty around 17–20°C due to variable cloud cover and precipitation potential, with final observations determining resolution after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
音量
$14,890終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 19°C (42% implied probability) and 18°C (26%) as the highest temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on April 15, driven by the Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)'s latest short-range forecast projecting a daily maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers (30% chance, 1 mm total) alternating with sun, moderate westerly winds (Beaufort 3), and 50% sunshine. This positions outcomes above the mid-April climatological average of ~12°C, following April 14's observed high near 15°C amid a mild warming trend in westerly flow. Ensemble model runs reflect tight uncertainty around 17–20°C due to variable cloud cover and precipitation potential, with final observations determining resolution after midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$14,890終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:29 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors 19°C (42% implied probability) and 18°C (26%) as the highest temperature at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol on April 15, driven by the Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)'s latest short-range forecast projecting a daily maximum of 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light showers (30% chance, 1 mm total) alternating with sun, moderate westerly winds (Beaufort 3), and 50% sunshine. This positions outcomes above the mid-April climatological average of ~12°C, following April 14's observed high near 15°C amid a mild warming trend in westerly flow. Ensemble model runs reflect tight uncertainty around 17–20°C due to variable cloud cover and precipitation potential, with final observations determining resolution after midnight.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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