Trader consensus favors 17°C or higher at 69.5% implied probability for Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service projections peaking near 16-17°C at Istanbul Airport (LTBA), the NOAA reporting station for resolution. Mild southerly winds at 9 mph are advecting warmer air masses into the region following yesterday's 15°C maximum, with early morning readings around 11-12°C under mostly cloudy skies. Partial cloud cover and a 25% precipitation chance introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 17°C, while historical early-April averages hover at 16°C. Monitor hourly METAR observations through afternoon for real-time shifts, as models diverge slightly on cloud evolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 3?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 3?
17°C or higher 73%
16°C 16%
15°C 6%
14°C 2.1%
$27,494 Vol.
$27,494 Vol.
2026/04/03
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
6%
16°C
16%
17°C or higher
73%
17°C or higher 73%
16°C 16%
15°C 6%
14°C 2.1%
$27,494 Vol.
$27,494 Vol.
2026/04/03
11°C
$5,002 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,706 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$4,082 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,991 Vol.
2%
15°C
$1,566 Vol.
6%
16°C
$1,116 Vol.
16%
17°C or higher
$1,778 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 17°C or higher at 69.5% implied probability for Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service projections peaking near 16-17°C at Istanbul Airport (LTBA), the NOAA reporting station for resolution. Mild southerly winds at 9 mph are advecting warmer air masses into the region following yesterday's 15°C maximum, with early morning readings around 11-12°C under mostly cloudy skies. Partial cloud cover and a 25% precipitation chance introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 17°C, while historical early-April averages hover at 16°C. Monitor hourly METAR observations through afternoon for real-time shifts, as models diverge slightly on cloud evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
音量
$27,494終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 17°C or higher at 69.5% implied probability for Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service projections peaking near 16-17°C at Istanbul Airport (LTBA), the NOAA reporting station for resolution. Mild southerly winds at 9 mph are advecting warmer air masses into the region following yesterday's 15°C maximum, with early morning readings around 11-12°C under mostly cloudy skies. Partial cloud cover and a 25% precipitation chance introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 17°C, while historical early-April averages hover at 16°C. Monitor hourly METAR observations through afternoon for real-time shifts, as models diverge slightly on cloud evolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$27,494終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てウィンドウ
最終
Trader consensus favors 17°C or higher at 69.5% implied probability for Istanbul's highest temperature today, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts alongside Turkish State Meteorological Service projections peaking near 16-17°C at Istanbul Airport (LTBA), the NOAA reporting station for resolution. Mild southerly winds at 9 mph are advecting warmer air masses into the region following yesterday's 15°C maximum, with early morning readings around 11-12°C under mostly cloudy skies. Partial cloud cover and a 25% precipitation chance introduce uncertainty, potentially capping peaks below 17°C, while historical early-April averages hover at 16°C. Monitor hourly METAR observations through afternoon for real-time shifts, as models diverge slightly on cloud evolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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