Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 34°C high in Jakarta on April 12 (49.5% implied probability), followed closely by 33°C (34.5%), reflecting BMKG's latest forecasts of partly cloudy skies with isolated heavy showers across Jabodetabek, potentially allowing midday peaks amid urban heat island amplification. Recent days logged observed highs of 30–32°C under persistent patchy rain during the rainy-to-dry season transition, aligning with April climatology (historical average ~32°C). BMKG warnings issued yesterday for moderate-to-heavy rain on April 11–12 introduce uncertainty, capping intensity but not ruling out brief sunny intervals; overnight hourly updates from official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma will likely sharpen model consensus before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 12?
34°C 45%
33°C 37%
32°C 10%
31°C 6.6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
10%
33°C
32%
34°C
45%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 45%
33°C 37%
32°C 10%
31°C 6.6%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
10%
33°C
32%
34°C
45%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 34°C high in Jakarta on April 12 (49.5% implied probability), followed closely by 33°C (34.5%), reflecting BMKG's latest forecasts of partly cloudy skies with isolated heavy showers across Jabodetabek, potentially allowing midday peaks amid urban heat island amplification. Recent days logged observed highs of 30–32°C under persistent patchy rain during the rainy-to-dry season transition, aligning with April climatology (historical average ~32°C). BMKG warnings issued yesterday for moderate-to-heavy rain on April 11–12 introduce uncertainty, capping intensity but not ruling out brief sunny intervals; overnight hourly updates from official stations like Halim Perdanakusuma will likely sharpen model consensus before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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