India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C in Lucknow on April 12 under mainly clear skies with strong daytime winds (25-35 km/h), following observed highs of 32.1°C on April 10 and 30.5°C on April 9—both well below normal after unseasonal rains cooled the region. Trader consensus favors 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (34%), reflecting ensemble model variability and expectations of gradual 2-4°C warming amid dry conditions and rising solar insolation typical for mid-April in Uttar Pradesh. Strong winds may cap peaks via enhanced mixing, but uncertainty persists; monitor IMD's evening bulletin and airport station observations for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 12?
36°C 49%
37°C 35%
35°C 13%
38°C 4.5%
$15,920 Vol.
$15,920 Vol.
34°C or below
2%
35°C
13%
36°C
49%
37°C
35%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 49%
37°C 35%
35°C 13%
38°C 4.5%
$15,920 Vol.
$15,920 Vol.
34°C or below
2%
35°C
13%
36°C
49%
37°C
35%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 35°C in Lucknow on April 12 under mainly clear skies with strong daytime winds (25-35 km/h), following observed highs of 32.1°C on April 10 and 30.5°C on April 9—both well below normal after unseasonal rains cooled the region. Trader consensus favors 36°C (48.5% implied probability) and 37°C (34%), reflecting ensemble model variability and expectations of gradual 2-4°C warming amid dry conditions and rising solar insolation typical for mid-April in Uttar Pradesh. Strong winds may cap peaks via enhanced mixing, but uncertainty persists; monitor IMD's evening bulletin and airport station observations for final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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