Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a daytime high of 20°C at 42% implied probability for Milan today, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs showing peak temperatures clustering around 19–21°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Yesterday's maximum of about 21°C at Milano Linate Airport sets a recent benchmark, but ARPA Lombardia forecasts irregular cloudiness and isolated afternoon showers that could cap warming by enhancing low-level cloud cover in the Po Valley. Meteoblue multimodel consensus aligns at 21°C max, though hourly peaks near 20°C reflect boundary layer stability. No major shifts in the past 24 hours; a persistent high-pressure ridge sustains above-average April warmth (historical average ~18°C), with real-time station observations determining final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on April 12?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 12?
20°C 42%
19°C 30%
21°C 18%
18°C 3.7%
$31,717 Vol.
$31,717 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
30%
20°C
42%
21°C
18%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
20°C 42%
19°C 30%
21°C 18%
18°C 3.7%
$31,717 Vol.
$31,717 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
4%
19°C
30%
20°C
42%
21°C
18%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a daytime high of 20°C at 42% implied probability for Milan today, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS model runs showing peak temperatures clustering around 19–21°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds. Yesterday's maximum of about 21°C at Milano Linate Airport sets a recent benchmark, but ARPA Lombardia forecasts irregular cloudiness and isolated afternoon showers that could cap warming by enhancing low-level cloud cover in the Po Valley. Meteoblue multimodel consensus aligns at 21°C max, though hourly peaks near 20°C reflect boundary layer stability. No major shifts in the past 24 hours; a persistent high-pressure ridge sustains above-average April warmth (historical average ~18°C), with real-time station observations determining final resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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