Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 15–17°C outcomes for Milan's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering daytime highs around 16°C under an incoming low-pressure system from northern Europe. High pressure has dominated through April 11, delivering highs near 21°C at Milano Linate Airport amid abundant sunshine, but model runs now project increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and cooler air advection by Saturday, capping insolation and boundary layer warming. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity variations and precipitation onset timing, with partial clearing potentially boosting 17°C+ to historical mid-April norms of 17°C, while persistent overcast favors 15°C. New 12Z runs from Italian Aeronautica Militare and ARPA Lombardia bulletins expected within hours will sharpen guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Milan on April 13?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 13?
16°C 31%
17°C or higher 29%
15°C 28%
14°C 17%
$11,366 Vol.
$11,366 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
17%
15°C
28%
16°C
31%
17°C or higher
29%
16°C 31%
17°C or higher 29%
15°C 28%
14°C 17%
$11,366 Vol.
$11,366 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
17%
15°C
28%
16°C
31%
17°C or higher
29%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a tight race among 15–17°C outcomes for Milan's highest temperature on April 13, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts clustering daytime highs around 16°C under an incoming low-pressure system from northern Europe. High pressure has dominated through April 11, delivering highs near 21°C at Milano Linate Airport amid abundant sunshine, but model runs now project increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and cooler air advection by Saturday, capping insolation and boundary layer warming. Differentiating factors include cloud opacity variations and precipitation onset timing, with partial clearing potentially boosting 17°C+ to historical mid-April norms of 17°C, while persistent overcast favors 15°C. New 12Z runs from Italian Aeronautica Militare and ARPA Lombardia bulletins expected within hours will sharpen guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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