Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C or below, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting cloudy skies with light rain and a daytime high of 22°C, though persistent overcast conditions and low early-morning temperatures around 13–16°C limit solar insolation and peak heating potential. Recent days align with this caution—April 11 peaked at 22°C amid similar cloudiness, while April 14 trends cooler per ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS. Mid-April climatological norms hover at 21–22°C, but precipitation odds of 40–60% introduce uncertainty; hourly observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will clarify the peak before evening model updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月15日の武漢の最高気温は？
4月15日の武漢の最高気温は？
21℃以下 58.8%
22°C 30%
23℃ 10%
24°C 3.8%
新規
$24,606 Vol.
新規
$24,606 Vol.
2026/04/15
21℃以下
59%
22°C
30%
23℃
10%
24°C
4%
25℃
<1%
26℃
1%
27℃
<1%
28℃
<1%
29℃
<1%
30°C
<1%
31℃以上
<1%
21℃以下 58.8%
22°C 30%
23℃ 10%
24°C 3.8%
新規
$24,606 Vol.
新規
$24,606 Vol.
2026/04/15
21℃以下
$4,895 Vol.
59%
22°C
$1,188 Vol.
30%
23℃
$2,594 Vol.
10%
24°C
$3,219 Vol.
4%
25℃
$2,450 Vol.
<1%
26℃
$3,255 Vol.
1%
27℃
$2,610 Vol.
<1%
28℃
$717 Vol.
<1%
29℃
$614 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$554 Vol.
<1%
31℃以上
$2,654 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C or below, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting cloudy skies with light rain and a daytime high of 22°C, though persistent overcast conditions and low early-morning temperatures around 13–16°C limit solar insolation and peak heating potential. Recent days align with this caution—April 11 peaked at 22°C amid similar cloudiness, while April 14 trends cooler per ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS. Mid-April climatological norms hover at 21–22°C, but precipitation odds of 40–60% introduce uncertainty; hourly observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will clarify the peak before evening model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 13, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
音量
$24,606終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C or below, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting cloudy skies with light rain and a daytime high of 22°C, though persistent overcast conditions and low early-morning temperatures around 13–16°C limit solar insolation and peak heating potential. Recent days align with this caution—April 11 peaked at 22°C amid similar cloudiness, while April 14 trends cooler per ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS. Mid-April climatological norms hover at 21–22°C, but precipitation odds of 40–60% introduce uncertainty; hourly observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will clarify the peak before evening model updates.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$24,606終了日
2026/04/15マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 12:08 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 64.5% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature on April 15 at 21°C or below, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts projecting cloudy skies with light rain and a daytime high of 22°C, though persistent overcast conditions and low early-morning temperatures around 13–16°C limit solar insolation and peak heating potential. Recent days align with this caution—April 11 peaked at 22°C amid similar cloudiness, while April 14 trends cooler per ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS. Mid-April climatological norms hover at 21–22°C, but precipitation odds of 40–60% introduce uncertainty; hourly observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport will clarify the peak before evening model updates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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