Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski's dominant trader consensus at 92.5% in the Illinois 13th congressional district House race stems from her strong March 17 primary victory over challenger Dylan Blaha, signaling party unity, and a massive fundraising edge—over $2.5 million cash on hand versus Republican nominee Jeff Wilson's limited resources as a Champaign County Board member. The Cook Political Report rates the district Solid Democratic, reflecting Budzinski's successful 2022 flip and 2024 hold in this central Illinois battleground from Springfield to Champaign-Urbana. With no major developments since the primaries, markets price in her incumbency advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets could arise from a Budzinski scandal, GOP national midterm wave, or Wilson fundraising surge, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$2,669 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$1,477 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski's dominant trader consensus at 92.5% in the Illinois 13th congressional district House race stems from her strong March 17 primary victory over challenger Dylan Blaha, signaling party unity, and a massive fundraising edge—over $2.5 million cash on hand versus Republican nominee Jeff Wilson's limited resources as a Champaign County Board member. The Cook Political Report rates the district Solid Democratic, reflecting Budzinski's successful 2022 flip and 2024 hold in this central Illinois battleground from Springfield to Champaign-Urbana. With no major developments since the primaries, markets price in her incumbency advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets could arise from a Budzinski scandal, GOP national midterm wave, or Wilson fundraising surge, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$4,146종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski's dominant trader consensus at 92.5% in the Illinois 13th congressional district House race stems from her strong March 17 primary victory over challenger Dylan Blaha, signaling party unity, and a massive fundraising edge—over $2.5 million cash on hand versus Republican nominee Jeff Wilson's limited resources as a Champaign County Board member. The Cook Political Report rates the district Solid Democratic, reflecting Budzinski's successful 2022 flip and 2024 hold in this central Illinois battleground from Springfield to Champaign-Urbana. With no major developments since the primaries, markets price in her incumbency advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets could arise from a Budzinski scandal, GOP national midterm wave, or Wilson fundraising surge, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,146종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski's dominant trader consensus at 92.5% in the Illinois 13th congressional district House race stems from her strong March 17 primary victory over challenger Dylan Blaha, signaling party unity, and a massive fundraising edge—over $2.5 million cash on hand versus Republican nominee Jeff Wilson's limited resources as a Champaign County Board member. The Cook Political Report rates the district Solid Democratic, reflecting Budzinski's successful 2022 flip and 2024 hold in this central Illinois battleground from Springfield to Champaign-Urbana. With no major developments since the primaries, markets price in her incumbency advantage ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets could arise from a Budzinski scandal, GOP national midterm wave, or Wilson fundraising surge, though structural barriers remain high.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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