Incumbent Democratic Representative Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote in Illinois' 13th Congressional District, a seat rated solidly Democratic by multiple nonpartisan analysts. The district's voter base and historical margins have produced consistent Democratic advantages in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Jeff Wilson, who won his primary, faces structural headwinds typical of the seat. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, a significant national partisan shift, or unexpected turnout changes could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
신규
신규
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$4,513 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$4,052 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote in Illinois' 13th Congressional District, a seat rated solidly Democratic by multiple nonpartisan analysts. The district's voter base and historical margins have produced consistent Democratic advantages in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Jeff Wilson, who won his primary, faces structural headwinds typical of the seat. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, a significant national partisan shift, or unexpected turnout changes could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$8,565종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote in Illinois' 13th Congressional District, a seat rated solidly Democratic by multiple nonpartisan analysts. The district's voter base and historical margins have produced consistent Democratic advantages in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Jeff Wilson, who won his primary, faces structural headwinds typical of the seat. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, a significant national partisan shift, or unexpected turnout changes could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$8,565종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with roughly 75 percent of the vote in Illinois' 13th Congressional District, a seat rated solidly Democratic by multiple nonpartisan analysts. The district's voter base and historical margins have produced consistent Democratic advantages in recent cycles, supporting the current trader consensus reflected in the 92.5 percent implied probability for the Democratic nominee. Republican nominee Jeff Wilson, who won his primary, faces structural headwinds typical of the seat. Late developments such as a major scandal involving the incumbent, a significant national partisan shift, or unexpected turnout changes could narrow the gap ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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