Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski is seeking re-election against a limited Republican primary field, with both parties holding June 23 primaries ahead of the November general election. The district's voter registration edge and historical turnout patterns have produced safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, limiting any realistic path for Republican gains absent extraordinary shifts in turnout or candidate developments. Late-breaking factors such as primary surprises or national political waves remain the primary variables that could still influence final positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$10,647 거래량
$10,647 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$10,647 거래량
$10,647 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$8,466 거래량
95%
Republican Party
$2,181 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski is seeking re-election against a limited Republican primary field, with both parties holding June 23 primaries ahead of the November general election. The district's voter registration edge and historical turnout patterns have produced safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, limiting any realistic path for Republican gains absent extraordinary shifts in turnout or candidate developments. Late-breaking factors such as primary surprises or national political waves remain the primary variables that could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$10,647종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski is seeking re-election against a limited Republican primary field, with both parties holding June 23 primaries ahead of the November general election. The district's voter registration edge and historical turnout patterns have produced safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, limiting any realistic path for Republican gains absent extraordinary shifts in turnout or candidate developments. Late-breaking factors such as primary surprises or national political waves remain the primary variables that could still influence final positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$10,647종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 2nd congressional district maintains a D+10 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic majorities in recent cycles, anchoring trader consensus around the Democratic nominee at 94.5 percent. Incumbent Democrat Johnny Olszewski is seeking re-election against a limited Republican primary field, with both parties holding June 23 primaries ahead of the November general election. The district's voter registration edge and historical turnout patterns have produced safe Democratic ratings from major forecasters, limiting any realistic path for Republican gains absent extraordinary shifts in turnout or candidate developments. Late-breaking factors such as primary surprises or national political waves remain the primary variables that could still influence final positioning.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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