In North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a dead-heat general election matchup between incumbent Democrat Don Davis and Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout following the March 3 primaries, where Buckhout narrowly prevailed in a competitive GOP field. Redistricting in October 2025 shifted the district into Cook Political Report's Lean Republican column, heightening vulnerability for Davis, whom analysts deem the most endangered House Democrat amid NRCC early investment in Buckhout. Pre-primary polling showed Buckhout leading 47%-43%, but incumbency, strong Democratic turnout in Black Belt areas, and recent fundraising filings sustain the razor-thin balance. National midterm dynamics, debate performances, and swing voter shifts in this battleground could tip the scales ahead of November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
51%
Republican Party
50%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$42 거래량
51%
Republican Party
$105 거래량
50%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a dead-heat general election matchup between incumbent Democrat Don Davis and Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout following the March 3 primaries, where Buckhout narrowly prevailed in a competitive GOP field. Redistricting in October 2025 shifted the district into Cook Political Report's Lean Republican column, heightening vulnerability for Davis, whom analysts deem the most endangered House Democrat amid NRCC early investment in Buckhout. Pre-primary polling showed Buckhout leading 47%-43%, but incumbency, strong Democratic turnout in Black Belt areas, and recent fundraising filings sustain the razor-thin balance. National midterm dynamics, debate performances, and swing voter shifts in this battleground could tip the scales ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
거래량
$147종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a dead-heat general election matchup between incumbent Democrat Don Davis and Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout following the March 3 primaries, where Buckhout narrowly prevailed in a competitive GOP field. Redistricting in October 2025 shifted the district into Cook Political Report's Lean Republican column, heightening vulnerability for Davis, whom analysts deem the most endangered House Democrat amid NRCC early investment in Buckhout. Pre-primary polling showed Buckhout leading 47%-43%, but incumbency, strong Democratic turnout in Black Belt areas, and recent fundraising filings sustain the razor-thin balance. National midterm dynamics, debate performances, and swing voter shifts in this battleground could tip the scales ahead of November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$147종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In North Carolina's 1st Congressional District, trader consensus reflects a dead-heat general election matchup between incumbent Democrat Don Davis and Republican challenger Laurie Buckhout following the March 3 primaries, where Buckhout narrowly prevailed in a competitive GOP field. Redistricting in October 2025 shifted the district into Cook Political Report's Lean Republican column, heightening vulnerability for Davis, whom analysts deem the most endangered House Democrat amid NRCC early investment in Buckhout. Pre-primary polling showed Buckhout leading 47%-43%, but incumbency, strong Democratic turnout in Black Belt areas, and recent fundraising filings sustain the razor-thin balance. National midterm dynamics, debate performances, and swing voter shifts in this battleground could tip the scales ahead of November 3.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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