The open NH-01 seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas to pursue the U.S. Senate, remains positioned as a Democratic hold in trader pricing. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and backed Kamala Harris by two points in 2024, supporting nonpartisan ratings of Likely Democratic or Lean Democratic from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have entered for the September 8 contest, framing their campaigns around opposition to the current administration, while Republicans have also fielded contenders ahead of their parallel primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the modest Democratic edge in voter history and fundraising patterns has sustained the strong market preference for the party nominee despite the absence of an incumbent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
12%
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
12%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open NH-01 seat, vacated by retiring Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas to pursue the U.S. Senate, remains positioned as a Democratic hold in trader pricing. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and backed Kamala Harris by two points in 2024, supporting nonpartisan ratings of Likely Democratic or Lean Democratic from outlets including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Multiple Democratic primary candidates have entered for the September 8 contest, framing their campaigns around opposition to the current administration, while Republicans have also fielded contenders ahead of their parallel primary. With the general election set for November 3, 2026, the modest Democratic edge in voter history and fundraising patterns has sustained the strong market preference for the party nominee despite the absence of an incumbent.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문