The open seat in New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district, following Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas’s decision to run for Senate, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and favored Democratic candidates in independent race ratings. Multiple Democratic primary contenders have emerged ahead of the September 8 contest, with frontrunner Stefany Shaheen benefiting from name recognition, early fundraising, and organizational support that position the party to retain the seat in November. Republican primary candidates remain more fragmented, limiting their ability to consolidate support in a district that supported the Democratic presidential nominee by a narrow margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural and candidate dynamics, though outcomes could shift with primary results or late-cycle developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
12%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$3,936 거래량
86%
Republican Party
$2,941 거래량
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district, following Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas’s decision to run for Senate, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and favored Democratic candidates in independent race ratings. Multiple Democratic primary contenders have emerged ahead of the September 8 contest, with frontrunner Stefany Shaheen benefiting from name recognition, early fundraising, and organizational support that position the party to retain the seat in November. Republican primary candidates remain more fragmented, limiting their ability to consolidate support in a district that supported the Democratic presidential nominee by a narrow margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural and candidate dynamics, though outcomes could shift with primary results or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
거래량
$6,878종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district, following Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas’s decision to run for Senate, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and favored Democratic candidates in independent race ratings. Multiple Democratic primary contenders have emerged ahead of the September 8 contest, with frontrunner Stefany Shaheen benefiting from name recognition, early fundraising, and organizational support that position the party to retain the seat in November. Republican primary candidates remain more fragmented, limiting their ability to consolidate support in a district that supported the Democratic presidential nominee by a narrow margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural and candidate dynamics, though outcomes could shift with primary results or late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$6,878종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in New Hampshire’s 1st congressional district, following Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas’s decision to run for Senate, carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+2 and favored Democratic candidates in independent race ratings. Multiple Democratic primary contenders have emerged ahead of the September 8 contest, with frontrunner Stefany Shaheen benefiting from name recognition, early fundraising, and organizational support that position the party to retain the seat in November. Republican primary candidates remain more fragmented, limiting their ability to consolidate support in a district that supported the Democratic presidential nominee by a narrow margin in 2024. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with these structural and candidate dynamics, though outcomes could shift with primary results or late-cycle developments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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