The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) recorded the most recent magnitude 7.0 or higher earthquake—a 7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia—on April 1, 2026, following a 7.3 quake near Luganville, Vanuatu on March 30 and a 7.5 near Tonga on March 24, reflecting typical clustering along the seismically active Pacific Ring of Fire. Globally, USGS data shows 15–20 such events annually, driven by tectonic plate interactions, but short-term forecasting remains impossible due to unpredictable stress accumulation on fault lines. Trader sentiment on Polymarket weighs this baseline rate against recent relative quiet, with no anomalous seismic indicators like foreshocks or swarm activity signaling an imminent event. Key for resolution: USGS-confirmed moment magnitude of 7.0+ anywhere worldwide before the market deadline. Monitor real-time USGS catalogs for updates, as new detections occur within minutes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於又發生了7.0級或以上的地震... ？
又發生了7.0級或以上的地震... ？
$44,811 交易量
2026-04-30
4月30日
37%
$44,811 交易量
4月30日
$12,397 交易量
37%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) recorded the most recent magnitude 7.0 or higher earthquake—a 7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia—on April 1, 2026, following a 7.3 quake near Luganville, Vanuatu on March 30 and a 7.5 near Tonga on March 24, reflecting typical clustering along the seismically active Pacific Ring of Fire. Globally, USGS data shows 15–20 such events annually, driven by tectonic plate interactions, but short-term forecasting remains impossible due to unpredictable stress accumulation on fault lines. Trader sentiment on Polymarket weighs this baseline rate against recent relative quiet, with no anomalous seismic indicators like foreshocks or swarm activity signaling an imminent event. Key for resolution: USGS-confirmed moment magnitude of 7.0+ anywhere worldwide before the market deadline. Monitor real-time USGS catalogs for updates, as new detections occur within minutes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
市場開放時間： Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
交易量
$44,811結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) recorded the most recent magnitude 7.0 or higher earthquake—a 7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia—on April 1, 2026, following a 7.3 quake near Luganville, Vanuatu on March 30 and a 7.5 near Tonga on March 24, reflecting typical clustering along the seismically active Pacific Ring of Fire. Globally, USGS data shows 15–20 such events annually, driven by tectonic plate interactions, but short-term forecasting remains impossible due to unpredictable stress accumulation on fault lines. Trader sentiment on Polymarket weighs this baseline rate against recent relative quiet, with no anomalous seismic indicators like foreshocks or swarm activity signaling an imminent event. Key for resolution: USGS-confirmed moment magnitude of 7.0+ anywhere worldwide before the market deadline. Monitor real-time USGS catalogs for updates, as new detections occur within minutes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if one or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between market creation and the listed date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until the end of the month following resolution time or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
交易量
$44,811結束日期
2026-04-30市場開放時間
Apr 2, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) recorded the most recent magnitude 7.0 or higher earthquake—a 7.4 event 126 km west-northwest of Ternate, Indonesia—on April 1, 2026, following a 7.3 quake near Luganville, Vanuatu on March 30 and a 7.5 near Tonga on March 24, reflecting typical clustering along the seismically active Pacific Ring of Fire. Globally, USGS data shows 15–20 such events annually, driven by tectonic plate interactions, but short-term forecasting remains impossible due to unpredictable stress accumulation on fault lines. Trader sentiment on Polymarket weighs this baseline rate against recent relative quiet, with no anomalous seismic indicators like foreshocks or swarm activity signaling an imminent event. Key for resolution: USGS-confirmed moment magnitude of 7.0+ anywhere worldwide before the market deadline. Monitor real-time USGS catalogs for updates, as new detections occur within minutes.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions