Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 14°C or below in Amsterdam on April 10, 2026, backed by official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the market's resolution station, where daytime peaks reached only around 12–14°C amid partly sunny skies, westerly winds at force 3, and minimal precipitation. KNMI's latest forecast accurately predicted this maximum of 14°C, aligning with ECMWF model consensus for cool spring conditions influenced by persistent low-pressure systems over northern Europe. April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 12°C; realistic challenges like an unforeseen adiabatic warming or measurement revision are improbable this late in the day, as overnight cooling to 6°C has begun.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 10?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 10?
14°C or below 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,584 交易量
$28,584 交易量
14°C or below
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
14°C or below 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$28,584 交易量
$28,584 交易量
14°C or below
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 14°C or below in Amsterdam on April 10, 2026, backed by official KNMI observations at Amsterdam Airport Schiphol, the market's resolution station, where daytime peaks reached only around 12–14°C amid partly sunny skies, westerly winds at force 3, and minimal precipitation. KNMI's latest forecast accurately predicted this maximum of 14°C, aligning with ECMWF model consensus for cool spring conditions influenced by persistent low-pressure systems over northern Europe. April climatology supports this, with historical highs averaging 12°C; realistic challenges like an unforeseen adiabatic warming or measurement revision are improbable this late in the day, as overnight cooling to 6°C has begun.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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