Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 13, with 14°C leading at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (24%) and 15°C (22%), driven by ensemble spreads across ECMWF, GFS, and national KNMI guidance. The latest KNMI outlook calls for a seasonal max of 12°C under increasing cloud cover, light rain chances (30%), and light northerly winds (Beaufort 2) limiting insolation and mixing in the boundary layer, keeping readings below the April average of ~13°C. However, some global models hint at partial clearing or weaker onshore flow allowing brief spikes to 15°C, with urban heat effects at Schiphol Airport measurements potentially tipping outcomes. Watch overnight 12Z model updates and April 12 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 13?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 13?
14°C 27%
13°C 23%
15°C 22%
16°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
8°C或以下
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
14%
13°C
23%
14°C
27%
15°C
22%
16°C
15%
17°C
7%
18°C or higher
2%
14°C 27%
13°C 23%
15°C 22%
16°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-13
8°C或以下
$1,367 交易量
1%
9°C
$374 交易量
1%
10°C
$24 交易量
3%
11°C
$34 交易量
7%
12°C
$41 交易量
14%
13°C
$31 交易量
23%
14°C
$231 交易量
27%
15°C
$28 交易量
22%
16°C
$151 交易量
15%
17°C
$51 交易量
7%
18°C or higher
$274 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 13, with 14°C leading at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (24%) and 15°C (22%), driven by ensemble spreads across ECMWF, GFS, and national KNMI guidance. The latest KNMI outlook calls for a seasonal max of 12°C under increasing cloud cover, light rain chances (30%), and light northerly winds (Beaufort 2) limiting insolation and mixing in the boundary layer, keeping readings below the April average of ~13°C. However, some global models hint at partial clearing or weaker onshore flow allowing brief spikes to 15°C, with urban heat effects at Schiphol Airport measurements potentially tipping outcomes. Watch overnight 12Z model updates and April 12 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$2,605結束日期
2026-04-13市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 13, with 14°C leading at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (24%) and 15°C (22%), driven by ensemble spreads across ECMWF, GFS, and national KNMI guidance. The latest KNMI outlook calls for a seasonal max of 12°C under increasing cloud cover, light rain chances (30%), and light northerly winds (Beaufort 2) limiting insolation and mixing in the boundary layer, keeping readings below the April average of ~13°C. However, some global models hint at partial clearing or weaker onshore flow allowing brief spikes to 15°C, with urban heat effects at Schiphol Airport measurements potentially tipping outcomes. Watch overnight 12Z model updates and April 12 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,605結束日期
2026-04-13市場開放時間
Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Amsterdam's highest temperature on April 13, with 14°C leading at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 13°C (24%) and 15°C (22%), driven by ensemble spreads across ECMWF, GFS, and national KNMI guidance. The latest KNMI outlook calls for a seasonal max of 12°C under increasing cloud cover, light rain chances (30%), and light northerly winds (Beaufort 2) limiting insolation and mixing in the boundary layer, keeping readings below the April average of ~13°C. However, some global models hint at partial clearing or weaker onshore flow allowing brief spikes to 15°C, with urban heat effects at Schiphol Airport measurements potentially tipping outcomes. Watch overnight 12Z model updates and April 12 observations for shifts ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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