KNMI's latest forecast, issued April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam today under partly sunny conditions with light southerly winds at force 4 and just a 20% chance of precipitation, anchoring trader consensus with 14°C leading at 37% implied probability closely trailed by 15°C at 30.5%. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, ranging 13–16°C, underscore uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover affecting solar insolation and boundary layer mixing. Mid-April climatological averages hover near 13°C, but current high-pressure influence supports mild conditions; differentiation between 14°C and 15°C hinges on afternoon clearing skies. Real-time data from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol— the market's resolution source—will clarify as observations accumulate through the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
14°C 35%
15°C 27%
13°C 15%
16°C 10%
$24,266 交易量
$24,266 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
15%
14°C
35%
15°C
27%
16°C
10%
17°C or higher
4%
14°C 35%
15°C 27%
13°C 15%
16°C 10%
$24,266 交易量
$24,266 交易量
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
15%
14°C
35%
15°C
27%
16°C
10%
17°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
KNMI's latest forecast, issued April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 14°C in Amsterdam today under partly sunny conditions with light southerly winds at force 4 and just a 20% chance of precipitation, anchoring trader consensus with 14°C leading at 37% implied probability closely trailed by 15°C at 30.5%. Ensemble spreads from ECMWF and GFS models, ranging 13–16°C, underscore uncertainty driven by variable cloud cover affecting solar insolation and boundary layer mixing. Mid-April climatological averages hover near 13°C, but current high-pressure influence supports mild conditions; differentiation between 14°C and 15°C hinges on afternoon clearing skies. Real-time data from Amsterdam Airport Schiphol— the market's resolution source—will clarify as observations accumulate through the day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions