Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 17 at 22-24°C amid a building high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds fostering mild spring warming, anchoring trader sentiment to the closely contested 22°C (29.5%) and 23°C (26.5%) outcomes. Differentiating factors include model variances in afternoon cloud cover—lingering from April 16's partly cloudy skies—and peak solar insolation rates, which could limit heating to 22°C if partial overcast persists or push to 23°C with fuller clearing; urban heat island effects may boost city readings but less so at the resolution site, Beijing Capital International Airport. Historical mid-April highs average 21°C, with new 12z model runs and hourly observations expected to sharpen consensus before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 17?
22°C 30%
23°C 27%
24°C 15%
25°C 13%
$34,897 交易量
$34,897 交易量
21°C or below
10%
22°C
30%
23°C
27%
24°C
15%
25°C
13%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 30%
23°C 27%
24°C 15%
25°C 13%
$34,897 交易量
$34,897 交易量
21°C or below
10%
22°C
30%
23°C
27%
24°C
15%
25°C
13%
26°C
5%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 1:26 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 17 at 22-24°C amid a building high-pressure ridge and light southerly winds fostering mild spring warming, anchoring trader sentiment to the closely contested 22°C (29.5%) and 23°C (26.5%) outcomes. Differentiating factors include model variances in afternoon cloud cover—lingering from April 16's partly cloudy skies—and peak solar insolation rates, which could limit heating to 22°C if partial overcast persists or push to 23°C with fuller clearing; urban heat island effects may boost city readings but less so at the resolution site, Beijing Capital International Airport. Historical mid-April highs average 21°C, with new 12z model runs and hourly observations expected to sharpen consensus before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions