Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) outlook for cloudy, cool conditions with isolated showers in Cape Town on April 17, driven by a recent cold front passage introducing a cooler maritime air mass and morning heavy rainfall. International models aggregated by AccuWeather and Meteoblue project max temperatures of 16-18°C, with westerly winds gusting to 60 km/h and dense morning cloud cover (99%) suppressing solar insolation and diurnal heating. The tight race among 15-18°C outcomes stems from uncertainty in afternoon shower clearance—persistent overcast favors 15-16°C, while partial breaks could push toward 17-18°C, below April climatological averages of 22°C. Evening model runs and early observations will refine this before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on April 17?
17°C 30%
16°C 28%
18°C 22%
15°C 11%
14°C or below
8%
15°C
19%
16°C
28%
17°C
30%
18°C
22%
19°C
9%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
1%
17°C 30%
16°C 28%
18°C 22%
15°C 11%
14°C or below
8%
15°C
19%
16°C
28%
17°C
30%
18°C
22%
19°C
9%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) outlook for cloudy, cool conditions with isolated showers in Cape Town on April 17, driven by a recent cold front passage introducing a cooler maritime air mass and morning heavy rainfall. International models aggregated by AccuWeather and Meteoblue project max temperatures of 16-18°C, with westerly winds gusting to 60 km/h and dense morning cloud cover (99%) suppressing solar insolation and diurnal heating. The tight race among 15-18°C outcomes stems from uncertainty in afternoon shower clearance—persistent overcast favors 15-16°C, while partial breaks could push toward 17-18°C, below April climatological averages of 22°C. Evening model runs and early observations will refine this before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions