Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F on May 8, 2026, driven by the official Weather Underground measurement at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming this range as the maximum amid persistent overcast skies and mist. National Weather Service observations noted low ceilings (BKN010-OVC047), spotty strong storms with gusty winds and heavy downpours, severely limiting solar insolation and preventing typical daytime heating—well below the early May climatological normal of 85°F. While definitive, rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from automated station audits could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Houston on May 8?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 8?
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$78,088 交易量
$78,088 交易量
2026-05-08
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
Yes
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$78,088 交易量
$78,088 交易量
2026-05-08
71°F or below
$13,456 交易量
No
72-73°F
$10,911 交易量
No
74-75°F
$9,709 交易量
Yes
76-77°F
$6,630 交易量
No
78-79°F
$7,017 交易量
No
80-81°F
$6,815 交易量
No
82-83°F
$7,264 交易量
No
84-85°F
$5,757 交易量
No
86-87°F
$3,824 交易量
No
88-89°F
$3,536 交易量
No
90°F or higher
$3,168 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F on May 8, 2026, driven by the official Weather Underground measurement at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming this range as the maximum amid persistent overcast skies and mist. National Weather Service observations noted low ceilings (BKN010-OVC047), spotty strong storms with gusty winds and heavy downpours, severely limiting solar insolation and preventing typical daytime heating—well below the early May climatological normal of 85°F. While definitive, rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from automated station audits could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$78,088結束日期
2026-05-08市場開放時間
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F on May 8, 2026, driven by the official Weather Underground measurement at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming this range as the maximum amid persistent overcast skies and mist. National Weather Service observations noted low ceilings (BKN010-OVC047), spotty strong storms with gusty winds and heavy downpours, severely limiting solar insolation and preventing typical daytime heating—well below the early May climatological normal of 85°F. While definitive, rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from automated station audits could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$78,088結束日期
2026-05-08市場開放時間
May 6, 2026, 12:11 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 100% implied probability for a Houston high temperature of 74-75°F on May 8, 2026, driven by the official Weather Underground measurement at William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU), the market's resolution source, confirming this range as the maximum amid persistent overcast skies and mist. National Weather Service observations noted low ceilings (BKN010-OVC047), spotty strong storms with gusty winds and heavy downpours, severely limiting solar insolation and preventing typical daytime heating—well below the early May climatological normal of 85°F. While definitive, rare scenarios like post hoc data revisions from automated station audits could theoretically challenge this, though such adjustments are infrequent for settled observations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions