Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
Highest temperature in Madrid on June 15?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$108,621 交易量
$108,621 交易量
2026-06-15
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$108,621 交易量
$108,621 交易量
2026-06-15
27°C or below
$1,593 交易量
No
28°C
$4,207 交易量
No
29°C
$7,202 交易量
No
30°C
$13,883 交易量
No
31°C
$12,576 交易量
No
32°C
$19,769 交易量
Yes
33°C
$14,035 交易量
No
34°C
$16,312 交易量
No
35°C
$13,300 交易量
No
36°C
$3,846 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$1,898 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$108,621結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$108,621結束日期
2026-06-15市場開放時間
Jun 13, 2026, 12:10 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus at 100% for a 32°C peak in Madrid on June 15 stems from official surface observations and short-range model guidance confirming daytime heating under a persistent high-pressure ridge, with southerly flow and minimal cloud cover enabling temperatures to reach this level by afternoon. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the Iberian Peninsula, where clear skies and low humidity typically allow maxima in the 28–34°C range without moderating marine influences. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts runs and local agency data show tight agreement on the threshold, leaving little room for variance before resolution. Late-day convective development or an unexpected shift in steering winds could still cap the official maximum below 32°C if verified by the primary reporting station.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions