PAGASA's latest extended outlook, updated April 14, forecasts a 33°C high for Metro Manila on April 16 under clear skies with 0% rain chance, driving trader consensus toward mid-30s outcomes amid the dry hot season's peak. However, recent observational data shows 35.5°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport on April 14, while sub-seasonal models predict warmer-than-average air temperatures across the National Capital Region for April 13-19, fueling bets across 32-39°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover, urban heat island effects amplifying peaks in stations like Quezon City or NAIA, and sea breeze influences on diurnal cycles; historical April norms range 33-36°C, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA measurements amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. New advisories expected April 16 morning could shift sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Manila on April 16?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 16?
31°C 30%
35°C 30%
33°C 27%
32°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
29°C or below
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
30%
32°C
26%
33°C
27%
34°C
26%
35°C
30%
36°C
26%
37°C
26%
38°C
26%
39°C or higher
11%
31°C 30%
35°C 30%
33°C 27%
32°C 26%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
29°C or below
$189 交易量
2%
30°C
$187 交易量
1%
31°C
$187 交易量
30%
32°C
$7 交易量
26%
33°C
$0 交易量
27%
34°C
$0 交易量
26%
35°C
$0 交易量
30%
36°C
$0 交易量
26%
37°C
$0 交易量
26%
38°C
$0 交易量
26%
39°C or higher
$0 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended outlook, updated April 14, forecasts a 33°C high for Metro Manila on April 16 under clear skies with 0% rain chance, driving trader consensus toward mid-30s outcomes amid the dry hot season's peak. However, recent observational data shows 35.5°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport on April 14, while sub-seasonal models predict warmer-than-average air temperatures across the National Capital Region for April 13-19, fueling bets across 32-39°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover, urban heat island effects amplifying peaks in stations like Quezon City or NAIA, and sea breeze influences on diurnal cycles; historical April norms range 33-36°C, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA measurements amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. New advisories expected April 16 morning could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
交易量
$571結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended outlook, updated April 14, forecasts a 33°C high for Metro Manila on April 16 under clear skies with 0% rain chance, driving trader consensus toward mid-30s outcomes amid the dry hot season's peak. However, recent observational data shows 35.5°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport on April 14, while sub-seasonal models predict warmer-than-average air temperatures across the National Capital Region for April 13-19, fueling bets across 32-39°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover, urban heat island effects amplifying peaks in stations like Quezon City or NAIA, and sea breeze influences on diurnal cycles; historical April norms range 33-36°C, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA measurements amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. New advisories expected April 16 morning could shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$571結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:16 PM ETPAGASA's latest extended outlook, updated April 14, forecasts a 33°C high for Metro Manila on April 16 under clear skies with 0% rain chance, driving trader consensus toward mid-30s outcomes amid the dry hot season's peak. However, recent observational data shows 35.5°C at Ninoy Aquino International Airport on April 14, while sub-seasonal models predict warmer-than-average air temperatures across the National Capital Region for April 13-19, fueling bets across 32-39°C. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover, urban heat island effects amplifying peaks in stations like Quezon City or NAIA, and sea breeze influences on diurnal cycles; historical April norms range 33-36°C, with resolution hinging on official PAGASA measurements amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty. New advisories expected April 16 morning could shift sentiment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions