Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters around a 33°C high at 34% implied probability for Panama City, Panama on April 17, reflecting seasonal forecasts projecting daily peaks of 31–34°C amid late dry season conditions, with averages near 32°C from historical data. No major developments in the past week have shifted odds, as current observations show stable tropical weather—partly cloudy skies, overnight lows near 24°C, and light northwest winds—setting up typical warming under high solar insolation. Uncertainty stems from cloud cover variability, which could suppress peaks to 32°C or below if showers develop (16% combined), or allow 35°C+ under clearer conditions (30% combined); humidity and urban effects further influence outcomes. Monitor local ETESA stations for intraday measurements resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月17日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
4月17日巴拿馬城的最高溫度?
33°C 34%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
35°C 19%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
22%
33°C
34%
34°C
22%
35°C
19%
36°C
7%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
33°C 34%
32°C 22%
34°C 22%
35°C 19%
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
2%
31°C
4%
32°C
22%
33°C
34%
34°C
22%
35°C
19%
36°C
7%
37°C
<1%
38°C或以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader sentiment on Polymarket clusters around a 33°C high at 34% implied probability for Panama City, Panama on April 17, reflecting seasonal forecasts projecting daily peaks of 31–34°C amid late dry season conditions, with averages near 32°C from historical data. No major developments in the past week have shifted odds, as current observations show stable tropical weather—partly cloudy skies, overnight lows near 24°C, and light northwest winds—setting up typical warming under high solar insolation. Uncertainty stems from cloud cover variability, which could suppress peaks to 32°C or below if showers develop (16% combined), or allow 35°C+ under clearer conditions (30% combined); humidity and urban effects further influence outcomes. Monitor local ETESA stations for intraday measurements resolving the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions