NEA's 4-day forecast, updated early April 16, projects a 34°C high in Singapore on April 18 with variable light winds and afternoon thundery showers, but trader consensus leans toward 32°C at 38.5% implied probability versus 33°C at 29.5%, reflecting inter-monsoon uncertainties in convective timing and cloud cover. In this equatorial climate, morning solar insolation drives rapid heating amid 70-90% humidity, yet widespread afternoon thunderstorms often induce evaporative cooling and shade, capping peaks below model projections—as seen in recent days' 33-35°C actuals despite similar outlooks. Differentiating 32°C from 33°C hinges on shower onset before 2 p.m. versus delayed convection allowing urban heat buildup at stations like Paya Lebar. Daily NEA updates will clarify as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Singapore on April 18?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 18?
32°C 39%
33°C 30%
31°C 19%
30°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
19%
32°C
39%
33°C
30%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 39%
33°C 30%
31°C 19%
30°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
19%
32°C
39%
33°C
30%
34°C
8%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
NEA's 4-day forecast, updated early April 16, projects a 34°C high in Singapore on April 18 with variable light winds and afternoon thundery showers, but trader consensus leans toward 32°C at 38.5% implied probability versus 33°C at 29.5%, reflecting inter-monsoon uncertainties in convective timing and cloud cover. In this equatorial climate, morning solar insolation drives rapid heating amid 70-90% humidity, yet widespread afternoon thunderstorms often induce evaporative cooling and shade, capping peaks below model projections—as seen in recent days' 33-35°C actuals despite similar outlooks. Differentiating 32°C from 33°C hinges on shower onset before 2 p.m. versus delayed convection allowing urban heat buildup at stations like Paya Lebar. Daily NEA updates will clarify as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions