Trader consensus clusters tightly around 60-63°F for San Francisco's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a peak near 62°F amid mostly sunny conditions and partial burn-off of the persistent marine layer. Recent observations show past-week highs capped in the upper 50s by deepening coastal stratus from cool Pacific onshore flow, but lighter west winds around 10-15 knots today promote earlier clearing and enhanced diurnal heating inland. Differentiating factors include stratus depth—if the inversion layer remains shallow, fuller afternoon insolation supports 62-63°F; persistent advection fog favors 60-61°F. Monitor SFO hourly data through late afternoon for resolution-defining peaks, as model ensembles show minor spread in boundary layer mixing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 15?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 15?
62-63°F 39%
60-61°F 36%
58-59°F 19%
64-65°F 6%
$24,067 交易量
$24,067 交易量
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
36%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
6%
66°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 39%
60-61°F 36%
58-59°F 19%
64-65°F 6%
$24,067 交易量
$24,067 交易量
47°F or below
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
19%
60-61°F
36%
62-63°F
39%
64-65°F
6%
66°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 60-63°F for San Francisco's highest temperature today, reflecting National Weather Service guidance forecasting a peak near 62°F amid mostly sunny conditions and partial burn-off of the persistent marine layer. Recent observations show past-week highs capped in the upper 50s by deepening coastal stratus from cool Pacific onshore flow, but lighter west winds around 10-15 knots today promote earlier clearing and enhanced diurnal heating inland. Differentiating factors include stratus depth—if the inversion layer remains shallow, fuller afternoon insolation supports 62-63°F; persistent advection fog favors 60-61°F. Monitor SFO hourly data through late afternoon for resolution-defining peaks, as model ensembles show minor spread in boundary layer mixing.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions