Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from INMET and global ensembles converging around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and weak high-pressure influence. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from moisture advection, which could cap peak heating below 30°C, versus urban heat island amplification and delayed sea breeze allowing slight exceedance; recent INMET guidance shows "muitas nuvens" limiting insolation. This exceeds April climatological highs of ~26°C amid ongoing warm anomalies seen in prior months. Watch for afternoon INMET updates and Guarulhos Airport observations, as minor shifts in boundary layer mixing could tip the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 17?
29°C 32%
30°C 32%
28°C 16%
31°C 12%
最新
$13,277 交易量
最新
$13,277 交易量
2026-04-17
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
16%
29°C
32%
30°C
32%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
1%
29°C 32%
30°C 32%
28°C 16%
31°C 12%
最新
$13,277 交易量
最新
$13,277 交易量
2026-04-17
24°C or below
$2,610 交易量
<1%
25°C
$1,675 交易量
1%
26°C
$1,358 交易量
2%
27°C
$1,626 交易量
3%
28°C
$869 交易量
16%
29°C
$811 交易量
32%
30°C
$795 交易量
32%
31°C
$1,663 交易量
12%
32°C
$651 交易量
4%
33°C
$440 交易量
1%
34°C or higher
$933 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from INMET and global ensembles converging around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and weak high-pressure influence. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from moisture advection, which could cap peak heating below 30°C, versus urban heat island amplification and delayed sea breeze allowing slight exceedance; recent INMET guidance shows "muitas nuvens" limiting insolation. This exceeds April climatological highs of ~26°C amid ongoing warm anomalies seen in prior months. Watch for afternoon INMET updates and Guarulhos Airport observations, as minor shifts in boundary layer mixing could tip the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$13,277結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from INMET and global ensembles converging around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and weak high-pressure influence. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from moisture advection, which could cap peak heating below 30°C, versus urban heat island amplification and delayed sea breeze allowing slight exceedance; recent INMET guidance shows "muitas nuvens" limiting insolation. This exceeds April climatological highs of ~26°C amid ongoing warm anomalies seen in prior months. Watch for afternoon INMET updates and Guarulhos Airport observations, as minor shifts in boundary layer mixing could tip the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$13,277結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for São Paulo's highest temperature on April 17, with models like those from INMET and global ensembles converging around 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies and weak high-pressure influence. Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover from moisture advection, which could cap peak heating below 30°C, versus urban heat island amplification and delayed sea breeze allowing slight exceedance; recent INMET guidance shows "muitas nuvens" limiting insolation. This exceeds April climatological highs of ~26°C amid ongoing warm anomalies seen in prior months. Watch for afternoon INMET updates and Guarulhos Airport observations, as minor shifts in boundary layer mixing could tip the outcome.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions