Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 46.5% probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by an ongoing early-season heatwave that saw yesterday's high exceed 35°C amid unseasonably hot conditions. Israel Meteorological Service guidance centers projections around 31–34°C with low humidity and easterly winds limiting sea breeze moderation, while ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show spreads of 30–36°C, factoring in urban heat island effects and high-pressure subsidence. Recent actuals surpassing cooler forecasts have boosted sentiment for the upper end, though variable coastal influences create uncertainty; watch for IMS updates and afternoon model runs today as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 17?
35°C or higher 48%
34°C 27%
33°C 19%
32°C 6%
最新
$16,806 交易量
最新
$16,806 交易量
2026-04-17
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
6%
33°C
19%
34°C
27%
35°C or higher
48%
35°C or higher 48%
34°C 27%
33°C 19%
32°C 6%
最新
$16,806 交易量
最新
$16,806 交易量
2026-04-17
25°C or below
$1,336 交易量
<1%
26°C
$1,381 交易量
<1%
27°C
$1,543 交易量
<1%
28°C
$1,087 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,489 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,576 交易量
1%
31°C
$1,685 交易量
1%
32°C
$1,345 交易量
6%
33°C
$1,312 交易量
19%
34°C
$1,327 交易量
27%
35°C or higher
$2,815 交易量
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 46.5% probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by an ongoing early-season heatwave that saw yesterday's high exceed 35°C amid unseasonably hot conditions. Israel Meteorological Service guidance centers projections around 31–34°C with low humidity and easterly winds limiting sea breeze moderation, while ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show spreads of 30–36°C, factoring in urban heat island effects and high-pressure subsidence. Recent actuals surpassing cooler forecasts have boosted sentiment for the upper end, though variable coastal influences create uncertainty; watch for IMS updates and afternoon model runs today as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$16,806結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 46.5% probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by an ongoing early-season heatwave that saw yesterday's high exceed 35°C amid unseasonably hot conditions. Israel Meteorological Service guidance centers projections around 31–34°C with low humidity and easterly winds limiting sea breeze moderation, while ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show spreads of 30–36°C, factoring in urban heat island effects and high-pressure subsidence. Recent actuals surpassing cooler forecasts have boosted sentiment for the upper end, though variable coastal influences create uncertainty; watch for IMS updates and afternoon model runs today as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$16,806結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 46.5% probability for Tel Aviv's highest temperature at Ben Gurion International Airport reaching 35°C or higher on April 17, driven by an ongoing early-season heatwave that saw yesterday's high exceed 35°C amid unseasonably hot conditions. Israel Meteorological Service guidance centers projections around 31–34°C with low humidity and easterly winds limiting sea breeze moderation, while ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show spreads of 30–36°C, factoring in urban heat island effects and high-pressure subsidence. Recent actuals surpassing cooler forecasts have boosted sentiment for the upper end, though variable coastal influences create uncertainty; watch for IMS updates and afternoon model runs today as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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